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Could the Soviet Union have won by itself?

Discussions on alternate history, including events up to 20 years before today.

Common Sense

Postby BDV on 30 Jun 2012 18:41

apollo144 wrote:Which is the advantage of expressing common sense



The "common sense" that in 6 short months led to this:

Image

and will spare the forum from the final (1945) snapshot.


May God Protect my children from the fallout of such "common sense"!
Pressé fortement sur ma droite, mon centre cède, impossible de me mouvoir, situation excellente, j'attaque. - Ferdinand F.

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Re: Could the Soviet Union have won by itself?

Postby David Thompson on 01 Jul 2012 00:40

A post from Apollo144, containing personal remarks about another poster, was removed by this moderator - DT.

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Re: Common Sense

Postby apollo144 on 01 Jul 2012 06:34

BDV wrote:
apollo144 wrote:Which is the advantage of expressing common sense



The "common sense" that in 6 short months led to this:

Image

and will spare the forum from the final (1945) snapshot.


May God Protect my children from the fallout of such "common sense"!


It is because of the deep armoured thrusts that Germany achieved the amount of success that it did. It was the key of all its successes. And you conviniently forget that the red army did the same thing in reverse in the second half of ww2.
Your obsession with heavy artillery leads you to contradict commons sense.

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Re: Common Sense

Postby BDV on 01 Jul 2012 14:55

apollo144 wrote: the red army did the same thing in reverse in the second half of ww2.
Your obsession with heavy artillery leads you to contradict commons sense.


Well, it seems that everyone, and I mean EVERYONE, all UN armies, all non-german Axis forces saw a need for heavy artillery*, and did their best to cover this need.

But the german results were so spectacular that no question should be raised as to the wisdom of the german approach. :roll:


I don't remember now how many artillery pieces we had per kilometer along the front line [at Stalingrad]. Later, when we were fighting outside Kiev, we had more than three hundred pieces per kilometer in the main area of battle. Later on, even that magnitude was exceeded.

Nikita Khruschev Memoirs


____________________________________________________________________________________________

* Actually Wehrmacht, too, finally got religion after the initial OstFront experiences, and did their best to simulate heavy artillery, with their 17 cm Kanone 18 in and 21 cm Mörser 18.
Last edited by BDV on 01 Jul 2012 15:36, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Common Sense

Postby apollo144 on 01 Jul 2012 15:21

BDV wrote:
apollo144 wrote: the red army did the same thing in reverse in the second half of ww2.
Your obsession with heavy artillery leads you to contradict commons sense.


Well, it seems that everyone, and I mean EVERYONE, all UN armies, all non-german Axis forces saw a need for heavy artillery, and did their best to cover this need.

But the german results were so spectacular that no question should be raised as to the wisdom of the german approach. :roll:
I don't remember now how many artillery pieces we had per kilometer along the front line [at Stalingrad]. Later, when we were fighting outside Kiev, we had more than three hundred pieces per kilometer in the main area of battle. Later on, even that magnitude was exceeded.Nikita Khruschev Memoirs


Well, it seems that the german army like all armies had a correct mix of all types of artillery, which includes heavy and superheavy. It is because of your obsession that you think otherwise. Your remark about the german approach is therefore without merit.
You also forget the issue of ammo. Germany struggled more and more to supply its existing artillery with sufficient amo and you would want it to have even more artillery pieces.
One certainly did not need the number of artillery pieces the red army used to achieve success.And there were tactical answers to the red army practice of using a lot of artillery.

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Re: Common Sense

Postby apollo144 on 01 Jul 2012 15:39

BDV wrote:
____________________________________________________________________________________________

* Actually Wehrmacht, too, finally got religion after the initial OstFront experiences, and did their best to simulate heavy artillery, with the 17 cm Kanone 18 in and 21 cm Mörser 18.


A not very smart remark as the 21cm mortar 18 was introduced in 1939 and was used from the beginning on the eastern front(at Brest) . Germany had developed this mortar because of the Maginot line. Heavy artillery has a specific purpose and Germany had a sufficient number of heavy artillery pieces within its mix of artillery pieces. Your obsession makes you want Germany more than it actually needed.

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Re: Common Sense

Postby BDV on 01 Jul 2012 16:30

apollo144 wrote:You also forget the issue of ammo. Germany struggled more and more to supply its existing artillery with sufficient amo and you would want it to have even more artillery pieces.


No, that's why I propose these guns (the french trophy heavies) to be used in places where they would not interfere with the logistics of your beloved deep armored strikes, namely Odessa/Sevastopol and Viipuri/Leningrad.

Again, returning to the situation of Odessa, in the end, germans had to divert their own artillery units to reinforce the romanians TWICE!, end of August and early September. How much did THAT interfere with AGS offensive, having to move the artillery and its supply to Odessa and back in the line, and having AGS troops devoid of that fire support for 6 weeks or so? How much easier if Romanians are given 60 GPFs and 30,000 shells in early July (that is, after they demonstrate their trustworthiness) and take care of business themselves?
Last edited by BDV on 01 Jul 2012 17:14, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Common Sense

Postby apollo144 on 01 Jul 2012 17:13

BDV wrote:
apollo144 wrote:You also forget the issue of ammo. Germany struggled more and more to supply its existing artillery with sufficient amo and you would want it to have even more artillery pieces.


No, that's why I propose these guns (the french trophy heavies) to be used in places where they would not interfere with the logistics of your beloved deep armored strikes, namely Odessa/Sevastopol and Viipuri/Leningrad.

Again, returning to the situation of Odessa, in the end, germans had to divert their own artillery units to reinforce the romanians TWICE!, end of August and early September. How much did THAT interfere with AGS offensive, having to move the artillery and it's supply to Odessa and back in the line, and having AGS troops devoid of that fire support for 6 weeks or so? How much easier if Romanians are given 60 GPFs and 30,000 shells in early July (that is, after they demonstrate their trustworthiness) and take care of business themselves?


There was no necessity at all to use these french guns you favour so much. Germany had everything it needed and diverting a few artillery units to Odessa can have no significant effect on the campaign of AGS.

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Re: Common Sense

Postby BDV on 01 Jul 2012 20:47

apollo144 wrote:There was no necessity at all to use these french guns you favour so much. Germany had everything it needed and diverting a few artillery units to Odessa can have no significant effect on the campaign of AGS.


The range of these guns, the simple fact that they existed, and the crucial contributions they could have made to Barbarossa, makes me to favor them for a ATL scenario. Of course if available, Morser 18 or Obice da 210 would probably work, although the 4-5 km longer range of the french guns gives them a significant advantage in fighting the russians. But I don't think the germans had hundreds of Morser 18s lying around. They did have hundreds of Grand Puissance Filloux guns lying around, for the next three-four years, until captured by the UN forces, and/or surrender.
Pressé fortement sur ma droite, mon centre cède, impossible de me mouvoir, situation excellente, j'attaque. - Ferdinand F.

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Re: Common Sense

Postby apollo144 on 02 Jul 2012 13:58

BDV wrote:
apollo144 wrote:There was no necessity at all to use these french guns you favour so much. Germany had everything it needed and diverting a few artillery units to Odessa can have no significant effect on the campaign of AGS.


The range of these guns, the simple fact that they existed, and the crucial contributions they could have made to Barbarossa, makes me to favor them for a ATL scenario. Of course if available, Morser 18 or Obice da 210 would probably work, although the 4-5 km longer range of the french guns gives them a significant advantage in fighting the russians. But I don't think the germans had hundreds of Morser 18s lying around. They did have hundreds of Grand Puissance Filloux guns lying around, for the next three-four years, until captured by the UN forces, and/or surrender.


You fail to prove that the german field army lacked sufficient heavy artillery so there is no case for putting into use french guns.

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Re: Common Sense

Postby BDV on 02 Jul 2012 19:43

apollo144 wrote:You fail to prove that the german field army lacked sufficient heavy artillery so there is no case for putting into use french guns.


I was talking about the romanian army. The finns also had severe problems dealing with the soviet resistance, it took them 2 months to retake Viipuri.

And you know, some take the problems germans themselves had with the Soviet infantry resistance as evidence that the amount of firepower used by Wehrmacht was insufficient. In which case ones mind wanders back to the high power, long range, french guns rusting in depots. The counter is the logistical limitations - which is reasonable for the deep thrusting Wehrmacht. However, logistics is not an acceptable excuse for either the Finnish Army in Karelia, or Romanian Army at Odessa as they were relatively close to their jumpoff points.

And ultimately it is not an acceptable excuse for the Wehrmacht, either.
Pressé fortement sur ma droite, mon centre cède, impossible de me mouvoir, situation excellente, j'attaque. - Ferdinand F.

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Re: Common Sense

Postby waldzee on 02 Jul 2012 20:24

BDV wrote:
apollo144 wrote:You fail to prove that the german field army lacked sufficient heavy artillery so there is no case for putting into use french guns.


I was talking about the romanian army. The finns also had severe problems dealing with the soviet resistance, it took them 2 months to retake Viipuri.

And you know, some take the problems germans themselves had with the Soviet infantry resistance as evidence that the amount of firepower used by Wehrmacht was insufficient. In which case ones mind wanders back to the high power, long range, french guns rusting in depots. The counter is the logistical limitations - which is reasonable for the deep thrusting Wehrmacht. However, logistics is not an acceptable excuse for either the Finnish Army in Karelia, or Romanian Army at Odessa as they were relatively close to their jumpoff points.

And ultimately it is not an acceptable excuse for the Wehrmacht, either.

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
One of the limitations on the Wehrmacht was the continous shortage of munitions on the Eastern Front, due largely to the administrative mess Ukraine sunk into form 1941-44.
Your analysis is correct, BDV,- heavy artillery is the first to be delayed when production screws up. Unfortunately, you appear to have acquired a' lil Camp follower' sniffing at your heels in this thread...

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Re: Common Sense

Postby apollo144 on 03 Jul 2012 12:55

BDV wrote:
apollo144 wrote:You fail to prove that the german field army lacked sufficient heavy artillery so there is no case for putting into use french guns.


I was talking about the romanian army. The finns also had severe problems dealing with the soviet resistance, it took them 2 months to retake Viipuri.

And you know, some take the problems germans themselves had with the Soviet infantry resistance as evidence that the amount of firepower used by Wehrmacht was insufficient. In which case ones mind wanders back to the high power, long range, french guns rusting in depots. The counter is the logistical limitations - which is reasonable for the deep thrusting Wehrmacht. However, logistics is not an acceptable excuse for either the Finnish Army in Karelia, or Romanian Army at Odessa as they were relatively close to their jumpoff points.

And ultimately it is not an acceptable excuse for the Wehrmacht, either.


You only succeed in further showing your tunnelvision about heavy artillery to the exclusion of all other weapons. You err when you think that tackling enemy entrenched infantry is only about heavy artillery. It is about a mix of weapons.
You err even more when you think that a number of alledgedly unused french guns would make a significant difference.

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Re: Common Sense

Postby apollo144 on 03 Jul 2012 12:59

waldzee wrote:
BDV wrote:
apollo144 wrote:You fail to prove that the german field army lacked sufficient heavy artillery so there is no case for putting into use french guns.


I was talking about the romanian army. The finns also had severe problems dealing with the soviet resistance, it took them 2 months to retake Viipuri.

And you know, some take the problems germans themselves had with the Soviet infantry resistance as evidence that the amount of firepower used by Wehrmacht was insufficient. In which case ones mind wanders back to the high power, long range, french guns rusting in depots. The counter is the logistical limitations - which is reasonable for the deep thrusting Wehrmacht. However, logistics is not an acceptable excuse for either the Finnish Army in Karelia, or Romanian Army at Odessa as they were relatively close to their jumpoff points.

And ultimately it is not an acceptable excuse for the Wehrmacht, either.

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
One of the limitations on the Wehrmacht was the continous shortage of munitions on the Eastern Front, due largely to the administrative mess Ukraine sunk into form 1941-44.
Your analysis is correct, BDV,- heavy artillery is the first to be delayed when production screws up. Unfortunately, you appear to have acquired a' lil Camp follower' sniffing at your heels in this thread...


You seem to have an obsession about the Ukraine as there is no link between ammunition shortages and the Ukraine.
Actually there was not even a continuous ammunition shortage on the eastern front.

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Re: Common Sense

Postby BDV on 03 Jul 2012 14:03

apollo144 wrote:You only succeed in further showing your tunnelvision about heavy artillery to the exclusion of all other weapons.


Oh, heavy artillery was not the only available firepower that the Axis failed to deploy against RKKA. The trophy 75 mm french guns (thousands of them!) weren't upgraded to PAK 97/38 and distributed to frontline troops until AFTER the Saturn/Uranus debacle.


You err when you think that tackling enemy entrenched infantry is only about heavy artillery. It is about a mix of weapons.


But of course you are correct. Not "only". But heavy artillery is a key ingredient of that mix, as it was for UN forces, non-German Axis forces, and finally for Germans themselves during Wacht Am Rhein. Without heavy artillery, you're looking at 3:1 casualties against the defender (Romanians at Odessa), or months of outflanking maneuvers, as the Finns did in Karelia.


You err even more when you think that a number of alledgedly unused french guns would make a significant difference.


Should I trust you or the historical record on the fall of Odessa and the survival of Leningrad?
Pressé fortement sur ma droite, mon centre cède, impossible de me mouvoir, situation excellente, j'attaque. - Ferdinand F.

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