Western Allies liberating Europe without the USSR

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Kingfish
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Re: Western Allies liberating Europe without the USSR

#421

Post by Kingfish » 27 Aug 2016, 00:07

Politician01 wrote:We can play this game in reverse as well: I think the WAllies would invest much less people into research and production and the military because they would realise that without Russia the war is lost.


Why would it have come to this conclusion?
Britain might have felt the sting of recent defeat but not the US, so I fail to see how an atmosphere of defeatism would have taken hold.
And there is the German DoW, coupled with the U-boat campaign, to ensure the war in Europe is kept, at least if not on the front burner, on a slow boil.
The Panther and Tiger I and stg 44 were in development since 1938/40 - and the first 6 months of Barbarossa would have happened so they would still develop these weapons.
Development is one thing, production is quite another. Planning for the Montana class BBs began in 1939 but was eventually cancelled in mid '42. The reason being the shift in naval strategy. It is reasonable to assume that having vanquished all opposing land armies in Europe the Germans would likewise shift their own emphasis towards air and naval development.
The gods do not deduct from a man's allotted span the hours spent in fishing.
~Babylonian Proverb

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Re: Western Allies liberating Europe without the USSR

#422

Post by Michael Kenny » 27 Aug 2016, 00:22

Stiltzkin wrote:
His information comes from Isaev, Zaloga, Kavalerchik, so go figure.
I have it. The book is one long attack on The Soviets and the T34. It is worthless as a historical account.
Stiltzkin wrote: Then you should read the book again.
Which book would that be I have over 40 books with him on the title page.
Stiltzkin wrote: Jentz never mentions a shock (and he is certainly one of those who fueled the T-34 myth) though, nor does he ever state that it was a direct copy, he only mentions the 01 prototype being closer to the T-34. Perhaps you should look closer at some of the combat reports he stated, most of the engagements show pretty high losses for T-34s, even in the opening phases (they can utilize their advantage when directly charging en masse frontally, while actually seeing the enemy, which was not easy at all). Their experiences with them, the "hysteria"? Perhaps, the "superiority shock" however is just a myth (the losses show something else). It was quiet obvious that they are going to make a steppe tank if they want to continue the war in the east.
So you say. I note that you make lots of claims about other posters contributions (on many subjects) being a 'myth' and that you (and you alone?) posses the real truth.
I have read the pathetic excuses being used to try and discredit German troops accounts of the T34 shock. 'Mythical Weapon ' uses the laughable 'they all mistook KV tanks as T34 tanks'.


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Re: Western Allies liberating Europe without the USSR

#423

Post by Stiltzkin » 27 Aug 2016, 00:35

Which book would that be I have over 40 books with him on the title page.
Did you read the whole Panzertruppen volumes?
posses the real truth
You can ask the dead Soviet tank crews for the truth. I have a high allergy to myths.

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Takao
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%stern Allies liberating Europe without the USSR

#424

Post by Takao » 27 Aug 2016, 00:40

Stiltzkin wrote:
Decreasing steadily due to Allied counter-flak measures.
Actually they increase.

http://www.taphilo.com/JG26/AA-defense-reich-WWII.shtml

Also
http://www.ww2.dk/misc/viiifc1143.pdf
http://www.taphilo.com/history/8thaf/8aflosses.shtml
Looks like the losses for the 8th Air Fleet alone are higher (43-45). Missions flown 10631, Total Losses 4145.
The numbers of Sorties differs from unit to unit, there are around 200-300 flown for most (with 40-50% losses). The average looks to be higher.
Ummm...Missions flown is not the equivalent of sorties flown.
For example, between 1 June & 31 August, 1944 the heavy bombers flew almost 70,000 sorties with 693 reported as missing in action and 68,989 returning from enemy territory...for a loss rate of 0.99%
http://history.amedd.army.mil/booksdocs ... apter9.htm

Care to try again for that "40-50% losses"?

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Re: Western Allies liberating Europe without the USSR

#425

Post by T. A. Gardner » 27 Aug 2016, 00:53

Politician01 wrote:Historically - when Russia was occupying and destroying 80% of German ground forces.
80% hum? How many divisions were in Italy in late 1943? How many were in France and the West at that time? Norway? Show that 80% of German ground forces were in Russia, because that isn't the case.
Given that the Allies initially stick to an air war, raiding and peripheral attacks, and eliminating the U-boat threat their casualties will remain low.

And then what? Lets assume that its mid 43 and that both the BotA and the Battle for NA is won (unlikely but lets assume it) what now? The Allies cant just stick to bombing which will be much much more difficult than OTL - they will have to invade mainland Europe - and without an Eastern Front the Germans are strong enough to crush them anywhere resulting in horrendous casualties. US population will demand to end the war in Europe because its senceless, and as OTL the British will be afraid of an invasion which without an Eastern Front is impossible anyways.
Then when German industry is in ruins, the transportation system destroyed, internal strife and resistance movements abound, the Allies invade at a point of their choosing and engage in a one-sided war of attrition that the Germans can't win.
Of course. Problems that partialy existed because of the Eastern Front and that they took WITH an Eastern Front OTL will now magically become unsurmountable.. :roll:


The German problem is they're a land power. They have no way to cripple the British or US and absolutely no way to go on the offensive and win. Germany can only defend. Eventually that means they lose unless the Allies decide to quit. I understand, that's why you keep trying to make that argument because you recognize otherwise the Germans can't win. They have to make the Allies quit.
Of course the Allies will allways accelerate projects they neglected OTL - project that might perhaps defeat Germany in the far future - thats much more promising than ending the war especially the US population doesnt want.
Show that the US population didn't want to win the war but would rather have accepted a negotiated peace. Certainly not with Japan. Japan was going to be hit and surrender on their knees. That happens regardless of this scenario. Then it's a matter of defeating Germany. I don't see the US public suddenly mass protesting the war. Mass protests against either war didn't happen during WW 2 in the US. Protests were small and usually by a select group of rabble rousers. But, I guess you can continue to wish in one hand...

Of course the Allies will continue to push projects at a wartime rate rather than slow them down, or even cancel them, if the war isn't coming to a favorable end. That's what the Germans did. They pushed as hard as they could to put new stuff into service, often prematurely and in poor functional condition.
For example, the USAAF cancelled the XP-72 just after D-Day telling Republic to concentrate on the XP-84 jet instead. The USAAF knew it didn't need a better high speed prop plane than the ones it had in service. The P-47N was allowed to continue only because it was a much longer ranged escort plane and needed in the Pacific. Otherwise, it too would have been cancelled.
MX-774 was largely defunded once the war ended. Convair was allowed to continue with existing funds and build 3 of 10 RTV-2A Hiroc missiles for test purposes. The Azusa guidance system by Hughes, however continued to get funding because the USAAF / USAF recognized the future need for such a system. Their view on ballistic missiles was a proper long range one would take a decade or more to get in service so there was no rush to getting the research done right away.
10 years in advance compared to OTL - Im impressed!

The United States Air Force's first operational surface-to-surface missile was the winged, mobile, nuclear-capable MGM-1 Matador, also similar in concept to the V-1. Deployment overseas began in 1954, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cruise_missile
Too bad you know so little. Operational, maybe. First no.

The JB-1, JB-2, and a plethora of other designs were built and tested as early as 1944 by the US. That these weren't pushed into service doesn't mean they weren't capable designs, but rather the US felt no need to push them into service. You seem to think that only what the US did historically counts while the Germans get all sorts of wunderwäffe pushed into service.
This is an alternate scenario. If the Western Allies thought they needed a cruise missile in mass quantities they'd put one or more in service and as early as mid 1944. Certainly they could do the JB-2 (V-1 copy) seeing as how the first test flight by the US was 60 days after the first German one hit England. I could see an improved version being put into service quickly using the Westinghouse 9.5A or B (J32) turbojet instead of the Argus 014 pulse jet.
Gorgon, Rascal, and other ASM's could have been pushed into production too.
Even Bat, an anti-ship ASM was in operational use by early 1945. It was a better system than the German Fritz X or Hs 293 by far.

B-36 first flight end of 1946
B-35 first flight mid 1946

Lincoln and B-29 maximum are 30 500 and 31 000 feet - thats WITHOUT bombs - also WITHIN the range of the 8.8 gun.

So, you are dead, flat, wrong on that issue.
Both the B-35 and B-36 were scaled back dramatically as the war ended. The B-35 was reduced to two prototypes and nothing more. The B-36 was continued but at a much slower pace. Without an end to the war both would have continued at a wartime production rate with the first plane in both programs flying in mid to late 1945.

You quote for a B-29A. I quoted the improved version that was being flight tested at the beginning of 1945 and would have been operational by mid 1945, the B-29D. It was renamed the B-50 for budgetary and political reasons by the USAF postwar to continue its funding.

To use your seemingly singular source...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boeing_B-50_Superfortress
T. A. Gardner wrote:As for Wasserfall, it was never going to work as a SAM.
Your bringing Wasserfall up shows an amateurish level of knowledge on the subject of SAMs and SAM development.

Oh really: According to Albert Speer and Carl Krauch it could have devastated the Allied bomber fleets.[4] Speer, Nazi Germany Minister of Armaments and War Production later claimed:

To this day, I am convinced that substantial deployment of Wasserfall from the spring of 1944 onward, together with an uncompromising use of the jet fighters as air defense interceptors, would have essentially stalled the Allied strategic bombing offensive against our industry. We would have well been able to do that – after all, we managed to manufacture 900 V-2 rockets per month at a later time when resources were already much more limited.
— Albert Speer, Reichsminister für Bewaffnung und Munition (Reich Minister for Armaments and Munitions), from memoir

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wasserfall
You didn't read my sources did you? Wiki is so pathetic a source to quote on Wasserfall. I refer you to this discussion here:

http://forum.axishistory.com/viewtopic. ... wasserfall

You are wrong on flak, and you are wrong on Wasserfall.

Oh, try quoting some real sources rather than Wiki. You are impressing no one by using it.

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Re: Western Allies liberating Europe without the USSR

#426

Post by Takao » 27 Aug 2016, 01:00

Stiltzkin wrote: Then you should read the book again. Jentz never mentions a shock (and he is certainly one of those who fueled the T-34 myth) though, nor does he ever state that it was a direct copy (sloped armour was new and diesel right, FCM - 36 and most American LL tanks had diesel, jap tanks had diesel..),
Jentz does not state that it is a "direct copy", but he does have this
Desig proposed by Daimler-Benz as their VK 30.01 (D). The shape of the hull and the rear drive closely resembles the Russian T-34 design which Daimler-Benz studied and copied. Daimler-Benz created this turret design for mounting the 7.5 cm Kw.K 42 gun.
from pg 14.

Or are you going to split hairs over the difference of "copy" and "direct copy"?

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Re: Western Allies liberating Europe without the USSR

#427

Post by Stiltzkin » 27 Aug 2016, 01:01

Jentz does not state that it is a "direct copy", but he does have this
Did they settle for the 01?

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Re: Western Allies liberating Europe without the USSR

#428

Post by Takao » 27 Aug 2016, 01:05

Stiltzkin wrote:
Jentz does not state that it is a "direct copy", but he does have this
Did they settle for the 01?
Splitting hairs it is then...

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Re: Western Allies liberating Europe without the USSR

#429

Post by Stiltzkin » 27 Aug 2016, 01:08

Splitting hairs it is then...
Are the AR-15 and AK47 a copy of the Stg44? They do incorporate some of its features.

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Re: Western Allies liberating Europe without the USSR

#430

Post by Takao » 27 Aug 2016, 01:25

Stiltzkin wrote:
Splitting hairs it is then...
Are the AR-15 and AK47 a copy of the Stg44? They do incorporate some of its features.
For the most part, yes, the AK is a copy of the StG44. Of course, the AK also borrowed a little bit from the US M1 Garand.

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Re: Western Allies liberating Europe without the USSR

#431

Post by Stiltzkin » 27 Aug 2016, 01:28

For the most part, yes, the AK is a copy of the StG44. Of course, the AK also borrowed a little bit from the US M1 Garand
Most people would now disagree.
So the T-34 is a copy of the FCM-36, Walther Christies (suspension) tanks and British cruiser tanks? It does have sloped armour and a Diesel.

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Re: Western Allies liberating Europe without the USSR

#432

Post by Takao » 27 Aug 2016, 01:43

Stiltzkin wrote:
For the most part, yes, the AK is a copy of the StG44. Of course, the AK also borrowed a little bit from the US M1 Garand
Most people would now disagree.
So the T-34 is a copy of the FCM-36, Walther Christies (suspension) tanks and British cruiser tanks? It does have sloped armour and a Diesel.
I'm surprised...I thought you were going to say that the T-34 was a copy of the British Mark I.

So, how many hairs are you prepared to split?

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Re: Western Allies liberating Europe without the USSR

#433

Post by Stiltzkin » 27 Aug 2016, 02:07

So, how many hairs are you prepared to split?
This has nothing to do with hair splitting, but rather about peoples subjective beliefs, vanities and motivations (look how carefully you avoided to mention the AR-15, just look up Stoners development process or Master Sgt.Deckers elaboration on military.com). Many misconceptions and myths are chiseled into peoples brains. In fact all I see is nothing but hair splitting " the WAllies had their own rockets, their Jets were certainly superior, they simply did not have to use them, there were stronger Panzer formations in the West than in the East, " etc etc.
However, I think this thread is getting too far off-topic.
I do not know why this debate is still continuing but Guaporense had a point: It is hard to believe that without the USSRs manpower and geostrategical position the WAllies victory would have been an easy one. If their performance would have been so outstanding, then Dieppe or Market Garden would have never happened.
Mentioning this seems to enrage many forum members.

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Re: Western Allies liberating Europe without the USSR

#434

Post by Michael Kenny » 27 Aug 2016, 02:52

Stiltzkin wrote:. Many misconceptions and myths are chiseled into peoples brains.
Good job we have you to guide us to the 'truth'.

Do you run a 'Mythbuster' site?
I saw you posted this elsewhere:

My response may come a bit late since i registered just recently but you are correct and wrong at the same time.
It is Mythbusting time again and as a historian i can tell you that we generally get a distorted view on the Germans allies of WW2
.

Do you spend all your time correcting myths?

I get the impression I have met you before under another ID.

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Re: Western Allies liberating Europe without the USSR

#435

Post by Takao » 27 Aug 2016, 03:45

Stiltzkin wrote:
So, how many hairs are you prepared to split?
This has nothing to do with hair splitting, but rather about peoples subjective beliefs, vanities and motivations (look how carefully you avoided to mention the AR-15, just look up Stoners development process or Master Sgt.Deckers elaboration on military.com).
Talk about myths...

Stoner's design process? I thought the AR-15 was primarily designed by L. James Sullivan & Bob Fremont, and Stoner designed the AR-10 & AR-16.

Or are you talking about another AR-15?
Stiltzkin wrote:the WAllies had their own rockets, their Jets were certainly superior, they simply did not have to use them, there were stronger Panzer formations in the West than in the East, "
The Western Allies did have their own rockets.

The Western Allies' jets were not "certainly" superior, although I believe that the De Havilland Vampire had the best advantage over the Me-262.

The problem faced by the Germans is that they cannot be strong everywhere. They would be weakest in Norway, North Africa, and Russia - Which is where the first attacks will likely fall.
Stiltzkin wrote: I do not know why this debate is still continuing but Guaporense had a point: It is hard to believe that without the USSRs manpower and geostrategical position the WAllies victory would have been an easy one. If their performance would have been so outstanding, then Dieppe or Market Garden would have never happened.
I believe that Guaporense's overall point was that there would be no Western Allied victory...Not that it would be a hard and costly one.

If the German soldiers' performance was so outstanding, they would have have won the war. But, it wasn't, and they didn't.

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