ljadw wrote: The most important point is still neglected : why was Germany declaring war on Russia ? Germany had only a defense IF the Russian mobilisation was threatening Germany, and, it was NOT threatening Germany:
1) There had been mobilisations prior 1914,which did not result in a German DOW.
It happened once and was not directed at Germany. This was something else entirely different. There was no justification whatsoever for Russia mobilisation on German borders (while mobilising on A-H borders was perfectly sensible) nor for a general mobilisation which included areas not close to any border.
ljadw wrote:
2)Russia mobilised 15 divisions on the border with Germany,and, these were defeated at Tannenberg by 8 German divisions
But these were not the only units Russia mobilised. Their mobilisation against Germany was slower than against A-H for strategic reasons. It was easier to finish the A-H armies first (especially with them now bogged down in Serbia) than fight the Germans who were busy with the French. And in any case these units were enough to cause massive havoc in the German ranks. Plus had they been better lead they would have probably take Koenigsberg by September.
ljadw wrote:
3)France mobilised 57 ID and 10 CD on the border with Germany,and this did not result in a German DOW :in her DOW,Germany was talking about French air attacks
The declaration of war specifically listed violation to
Belgian sovereignty of which Germany was a guarantor. This was an obvious manoeuvre to justify intervention in Belgium in accordance with German planning. In the White book (issued to foreign embassies one day after the DoW on France) mobilisation and French refusal to answer if they would honour their treaty with Russia was cited too.
ljadw wrote:
4) When Russia mobilised considerable forces on the border with AH,AH did NOT declare war,nor did Germany .
See answer above.
ljadw wrote:
5)IF the Russian mobilisation was threatening Germany,the logical result would be that Germany would concentrate the main part of its forces in the East,not in the West .
I think you pretty much know the answer to this hypothetical question.
ljadw wrote:
Other point: after Sarajevo,everyone was cheating and abandoning its ally :Russia did nothing when Germany invaded France,France did nothing when Germany declared war on Russia,AH delayed its DOW on Russia till 6 august (FIVE days after the German DOW on Russia,Germany lied to AH : it said : if the war with Serbia results in a war with Rusia, we will help ou : reality is that Germany totally abandoned AH: it was going west .
Not really. Russia moved faster than anyone expected and in many eyes cost the Germans the war by forcing Germans to move troops east at the very moment the battle was being decided in the Marne. A-H declared war because of its alliance obligations and Russia would have jumped at war even if there was no DoW since it was building troops against A-H more than it was building them against Germany.
ljadw wrote:
Germany had invented the whole scenario : AH would invade Serbia, this would result in a war between AH and Russia,Germany would declare war on Russia and GO WEST .
But,the scenario failed(it depended on the AH willingness to commit suicide) : AH did NOT invade Serbia (there was no AH invasion between 28 july and 1 august) and Russia did not declare war on AH .But,war with Russia was the conditio sine qua non for an attack in the west,thus Germany started the war in the east to be able to go west .
Plausible but still speculative. Why Russia would drag itself in this situation to begin with knowing it would be the most to lose if anything went south and with Germany as your enemy it would at some point?
Anyway not to hate on you or anything but Go Argentina!