Philip S. Walker wrote: Likewise, a Finland more independent of Germany would not have been cut off from Swedish supplies in the way it happened due to Allied pressure on the Swedish leaders,
This is pure fantasy, considering what happened already in the spring 1940.
Juhani Aunesluoma tells in Paperipatruunat. Metsäteollisuus sodassa ja jälleenrakennuksessa 1939-1950. (Papers bosses. The forest industry in war and reconstruction) by Juhana Aunesluoma. Suomalaisen kirjallisuuden seura, 2007):
At the end of March 1940, President Ryti sent a message to Britain, where the hoped for a commercial agreement. The Finnish forest industry was completely dependent on exports, particularly to Britain, so it was important to get the protection of the Royal Navy protection. Money from exports would have strengthened the Finnish economy in the conditions of a prolonged world war as well as made possible to develop military readiness and arms.
At the same time, this meant abandoning neutrality and sided Britain in World War II.
However, the Finnish hopes were crushed when Germany invaded Denmark and Norway. In the spring of 1940, Finland was left blocked in the Baltic, commercially and strategically at the mercy of Germany and the Soviet Union.
Essential goods were able to bring with difficulty along the route to Pechenga, but the British still tightened the embargo, thereby reducing the importance of the trade. In the autumn 1941 Ryti appealed to England, that it would foreclose the Finnish commercial from England, and that “in negotiations with the Russia, it would not sacrifice Finland”.
Only one cargo of paper was shipped to Manchester in June 1940. Britain gave reluctant sailing permits, fearing that the goods that were sold to Nordic countries would be seized in the end Germany.
The Finnish government hurried to make conclusions. The course was changed towards Stockholm and Berlin. However, the Swedes (nor the Soviets) didn’t want to buy the products of the Finnish forest industry as they those themselves enough.
That left Germany that was also an only one who could sell food that Finland, after losing Karelia, desperately needed.
The Finnish forest industry was traditionally Anglophile as Britain was, besides the greatest customer after Finland became independent, a supporter of free trade, whereas the Finns industrialists had very bad memories of Germany’s colonialist tendencies in 1918. But as Germany was only possible buyer, the former Anglophile leaders were set aside.
The trade negotiations in June 1940 were a success. Germany expressed its readiness to buy paper products in significant quantities.
In the same time, the Finns got the first though informal messages that the attitude of Germany had changed. The Nazis in high positions even hinted that the USSR was despite all the most important enemy of Germany – its turn would come after the fall of Britain.
In the longer perspective, however, the Finns didn’t like the German economic views as Finland’s economic success depended on free trade which was anathema to Germany.