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How [many] Jews were killed for real?

Discussions on the Holocaust and 20th Century War Crimes. Note that Holocaust denial is not allowed.
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Postby David Thompson on 12 Apr 2006 20:28

A second unsourced opinion post from snookie was deleted by this moderator pursuant to previous warnings posted at:

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snookie -- You've had enough warnings. Any further noncomplying posts from you will be deleted. If you can't or won't comply with the rules, go somewhere else.
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Postby snookie on 12 Apr 2006 20:28

How many times has the Plaque @ Aushwitz been changed?
The six million number has stood in people's minds for 60 years even though various numbers have been lowered...why is that?

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Postby nickterry on 12 Apr 2006 20:30

You have entirely too much time on your hands as well as are quite selective in your moderating. Since I do not care to look, but you seem to have the rules on your 'cut and paste' speed dial, do you want to post the rules on profanity for our friend or would you rather not reprimand one of your minions? Rules are rules right?


I await my punishment. I'm not, however, a minion of anyone.

"I believe" in this case means the German's DID include the Finnish Jews in their number and if I had the time or desire I'd search your little forum and 'cut and paste' it all for everyone to see I would....BUT since we all know what I said was factual, therefore not needing to use the bandwidth to tell you what you already know, I thought I could leave it out. In the rest of my posts here I quote many sources, sometimes you need not when everyone knows it to be a fact.


Searching the forum would be a start; since there is plenty of information to be found on here, concerning each country in turn, and many, many, many references to links and books that provide a wide range of material germane to these discussions.

Is this a joke? This forum (The Holocaust portion anyway) is nothing more than a safe haven for people like yourself...people who all use the same ridiculous data, from the same Axis History approved reading list. There is no free exchange of ideas, unless of course one believes as you do. The rest of the forum is fine, maybe better moderators?


Nope, the sources are often from the archives or published documents, and the literature happens to be the most advanced available on the respective subjects. If this literature presents information which is inconvenient to your worldview, I'm terribly sorry, but hard facts are what count in this forum, not ideological discussions.

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Postby nickterry on 12 Apr 2006 20:31

snookie wrote:
nickterry wrote:Actually, AHF has a surprisingly higher accuracy rate than you seem to wish to give it credit for. That's because the information has to be sourced, which is precisely what happened in the preceding discussion which you have so belatedly gatecrashed.


Sources mean nothing if they are bad.


nickterry wrote:No sane historian goes as low as 3.5 million..


Ummmmmmmmm I believe that French MacLean goes as low as 3.5 in "The Camp Men".
(Hey David, "I believe" = I know he does.)


French Maclean is an expert on SS personnel files, not the Holocaust in Eastern Europe.

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Postby nickterry on 12 Apr 2006 20:34

snookie wrote:How many times has the Plaque @ Aushwitz been changed?
The six million number has stood in people's minds for 60 years even though various numbers have been lowered...why is that?


Here's something in English explaining the Auschwitz death toll.

http://www.auschwitz.org.pl/html/eng/ak ... php?id=563


Here's a clue as to why the figure hasn't changed - because most of Polish Jewry and all of Soviet Jewry never got sent to Auschwitz. Treblinka? Belzec? Sobibor? Chelmno? Maly Trostinets? Einsatzgruppen? Police Battalion 101? Ring any bells?



Benz
Poland 2,700,000
Soviet Union 2,100,000
Hungary 550,000
Romania 211,214
German Reich 160,000
Czechoslovakia 143,000
Netherlands 102,000
France 76,134
Austria 65,459
Yugoslavia 60,000-65,000
Greece 59,185
Belgium 28,518
Italy 6,513
Luxemburg 1,200
Norway 758
Denmark 116
TOTAL 6,269,097

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Postby Rob - wssob2 on 13 Apr 2006 03:40

This is actually untrue; a reasonably accurate count of the total number of victims of the SS/Police throughout Barbarossa is entirely possible by combining Soviet investigative surveys and German reports. Which is precisely what historians of the occupied East have been doing for the past decade or so.


Hi Nick - I wanted to mention that your point touches on the fact that since the collapse of the Communist system in the east in the early '90a and the subsequent opening up of heretofore restricted archives has been a boon for WWII and Holocaust historians.

Mayer is not to be taken on trust, by the way, he uses no footnotes or visible archival sources.


Trust noone, and never cease cross-referencing. ;-)

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Postby nickterry on 13 Apr 2006 09:21

Rob - wssob2 wrote:
This is actually untrue; a reasonably accurate count of the total number of victims of the SS/Police throughout Barbarossa is entirely possible by combining Soviet investigative surveys and German reports. Which is precisely what historians of the occupied East have been doing for the past decade or so.


Hi Nick - I wanted to mention that your point touches on the fact that since the collapse of the Communist system in the east in the early '90a and the subsequent opening up of heretofore restricted archives has been a boon for WWII and Holocaust historians.

Mayer is not to be taken on trust, by the way, he uses no footnotes or visible archival sources.


Trust noone, and never cease cross-referencing. ;-)


cross-referencing is how I spend my professional life as a historian...

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Postby snookie on 13 Apr 2006 13:04

nickterry wrote:French Maclean is an expert on SS personnel files, not the Holocaust in Eastern Europe.


With this statement you are showing how little you know about certain authors.

I'd like to say I misspoke earlier. MacLean did not say 3.5 million (as his low number) dead in the Holocaust, he said 3.5 - 6 million in the camp system. I was somewhat surprised that no one called me to the carpet overnight...is this a function of no traffic through this thread or limited libraries on people's shelves in this 'cut and paste' computer world?

Anyway, as I stated earlier and will expand upon here, there is no way we'll ever agree upon a number (Jews killed in the Holocaust). First of all there are no 'solid' numbers to be found. Oh some people here will quote numbers of living Jews in Europe, which are guesstimates, which are disputed by reputable authors using period numbers (Martin Gilbert's "Auschwitz & the Allies"). Then they begin to throw around other numbers of Jews killed in either the camp system or by the Einsatzgruppen...also estimates because only God himself knows the real answer but various folks here on earth believe they do as well.

Lets try a little math experiment shall we?
Let's just use MacLeans numbers...He stated 3.5 - 6 million in the camp system and an additional 850,000 - 1.35 Million by the Einsatzgruppen (The Camp Men, The Field Men). This is just one Historian and the 'fudge factor' in his numbers alone are 3,000,000.

Let's just use the two largest Death Camps (largest in numbers of Deaths) Auschwitz and Treblinka. The generally accepted number now is 1 to 1.6 Million for Auschwitz and 700,000 to 1-million for Treblinka...a fudge factor of 800,000 for just those two camps. If you look at any numbers, for any camp they give a range...say Dachau of 40-60,000, the higher number 50% higher than the lower. I am a math guy, and there is NO WAY you can get a accurate answer if EVERY ONE of your variables is a guess.

No comes another one of my problems with everyone's simple math here. They try to subtract the (guessed at) numbers of dead Jews from the (thought) known living prewar Jewish number. Most then lump it all under the catch-all label of Holocaust, laying the guilt on the SS in particular and the entire German Nation as a whole, which is also innacurate. They seem to forget that the Germans did not invent antisemitism and many Jews died at the hands of others, sometimes of their own accord and not at the behest of the Germans. If anyone has ever read "The Bravest Battle", Kurtzman, it is riddled w/first hand Jewish accounts of Polish treatment including Murder. What about "The Good Old days" by Klee...those Latvians, Lithuanians, Ukranians loved killing them Jews.... How many trains were shot up, how many factories were bombed, etc by the allies resulting in Jewish deaths? Under which heading are those numbers applied? What about Kaytn? Was this the only instance of a Russian warcrime?

Now the sickest part of the whole Holocaust thing, only Jewish deaths seem to be remembered. I am not an anti-semite but what about the 2-million non-Jewish Poles that were murdered? What about all the Russian POWs? The Mentally Ill? Gypsies? Communists? Etc?

To the individual who started this thread, the answer is there is no number that will be agreed upon. Take the high and low numbers and place your finger squarely in the middle...it is around there somewhere.

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Postby nickterry on 13 Apr 2006 13:58

nickterry wrote:French Maclean is an expert on SS personnel files, not the Holocaust in Eastern Europe.


With this statement you are showing how little you know about certain authors.


I have MacLean's Field Men, not his Camp Men. I also have MacLean's other two books. I know what this author is capable of, and accurate estimates of mortality in either KZs or in the Holocaust is NOT his field.

I'd like to say I misspoke earlier. MacLean did not say 3.5 million (as his low number) dead in the Holocaust, he said 3.5 - 6 million in the camp system. I was somewhat surprised that no one called me to the carpet overnight...is this a function of no traffic through this thread or limited libraries on people's shelves in this 'cut and paste' computer world?


Well, now we find out that YOU can't read your sources clearly. Are you labouring under the misapprehension that all Jews died in camps? They did not; millions were shot in mass executions of which the most famous is Babi Yar, but which were repeated ca. 2-3,000 times over across both Poland and Russia.

Anyway, as I stated earlier and will expand upon here, there is no way we'll ever agree upon a number (Jews killed in the Holocaust). First of all there are no 'solid' numbers to be found. Oh some people here will quote numbers of living Jews in Europe, which are guesstimates, which are disputed by reputable authors using period numbers (Martin Gilbert's "Auschwitz & the Allies"). Then they begin to throw around other numbers of Jews killed in either the camp system or by the Einsatzgruppen...also estimates because only God himself knows the real answer but various folks here on earth believe they do as well.


Gilbert himself wrote The Atlas of the Holocaust, as well as The Holocaust, so perhaps you can consult those books before you claim that he 'disputes' the numbers. He does no such thing. He cited a wartime claim from people who didn't know the full facts.

'Various people' by the way happens to constitute circa 200-300 specialist historians who have worked since 1945 on being more precise about the information. There happen to be plenty of documents to help them on their way.

Lets try a little math experiment shall we?
Let's just use MacLeans numbers...He stated 3.5 - 6 million in the camp system and an additional 850,000 - 1.35 Million by the Einsatzgruppen (The Camp Men, The Field Men). This is just one Historian and the 'fudge factor' in his numbers alone are 3,000,000


To repeat, MacLean isn't an expert on the demographics of the camp system. The question I have for you is

a) WHAT camps is he referring to, there was the WVHA system (including Auschwitz and Majdanek) and then there was the Aktion Reinhard camp system.

b) does MacLean perchance cite outdated estimates by the likes of Kogon, writing immediately after the war.

I have already posted an information thread which contains information on mortality within specific 'normal' camps. The number of deaths in 'normal' camps, excluding those gassed at Auschwitz on arrival, is under 1 million. Most of these deaths were of non-Jews.

viewtopic.php?t=97057

Let's just use the two largest Death Camps (largest in numbers of Deaths) Auschwitz and Treblinka. The generally accepted number now is 1 to 1.6 Million for Auschwitz and 700,000 to 1-million for Treblinka...a fudge factor of 800,000 for just those two camps. If you look at any numbers, for any camp they give a range...say Dachau of 40-60,000, the higher number 50% higher than the lower. I am a math guy, and there is NO WAY you can get a accurate answer if EVERY ONE of your variables is a guess.


Nope, wrong, consult the link I gave you above about Auschwitz. The death toll at Auschwitz is known very precisely. It is about 1 million from all causes.

Treblinka, wrong again, we have hard data from the Hoefle telegram found in the past five years stating that 713,555 were 'evacuated' there by the end of 1942, leading historians to reject higher totals.

You may be a math guy, but you don't seem very aware of how historians, including demographic historians, work.

No comes another one of my problems with everyone's simple math here. They try to subtract the (guessed at) numbers of dead Jews from the (thought) known living prewar Jewish number.


Nope, wrong. Demographic calculations only give a ceiling. Historians work from the events upwards, aggregating the numbers recorded in specific transports and shooting actions. Yes, there are a host of such events whose numbers will never be precisely known, but the sum total of 60 years research indicates that the death toll is between 5 and 6 million. For a demographic catastrophe on the scale of the Holocaust, this is pretty precise.

Or can you tell me precisely how many died in the 1933 Ukrainian famine. I don't think you can, not to the same level of historical proof as is available for the Holocaust. Death tolls in the Ukrainian famine are all calculated through demographic methods, not from documents or eyewitnesses.

Most then lump it all under the catch-all label of Holocaust, laying the guilt on the SS in particular and the entire German Nation as a whole, which is also innacurate. They seem to forget that the Germans did not invent antisemitism and many Jews died at the hands of others, sometimes of their own accord and not at the behest of the Germans. If anyone has ever read "The Bravest Battle", Kurtzman, it is riddled w/first hand Jewish accounts of Polish treatment including Murder. What about "The Good Old days" by Klee...those Latvians, Lithuanians, Ukranians loved killing them Jews.... How many trains were shot up, how many factories were bombed, etc by the allies resulting in Jewish deaths? Under which heading are those numbers applied? What about Kaytn? Was this the only instance of a Russian warcrime?


Nope, wrong. Historians have long paid attention to the role of collaborators in the Holocaust, though no one disputes the central steering role of the SS. Reitlinger's book on the SS was subtitled 'the alibi of a nation'. Until Goldhagen came along, that's how they were. Goldhagen sold most books, funnily enough, in Germany. Pretty much every historian rejects Goldhagen's claims that the guilt 'lies with the entire German Nation alone'.

Now the sickest part of the whole Holocaust thing, only Jewish deaths seem to be remembered. I am not an anti-semite but what about the 2-million non-Jewish Poles that were murdered? What about all the Russian POWs? The Mentally Ill? Gypsies? Communists? Etc?


Snookie, there are plenty of existing threads debating a) Polish deaths, b) Soviet deaths, c) gypsies, d) victims of Stalinist repressions, e) German victims and on. *This* one happens to be about the Holocaust.

So kindly butt out of making crass generalisations which, sadly, make me query what exactly your motives are for intervening in a long-ongoing discussion.

To the individual who started this thread, the answer is there is no number that will be agreed upon. Take the high and low numbers and place your finger squarely in the middle...it is around there somewhere.


Nope, wrong. We have a confirmed range between 5 and 6 million. Claims lower than 5 million are not properly sourced and do not take into account 60 years of careful research. Claims higher than 6 million cannot be proven sufficiently.

Whether it's 5.1 million, 5.2 million, 5.3 million, 5.4 million, 5.5 million, 5.6 million, 5.7 million, 5.8 million or 5.9 million is irrelevant to the essential point.

- at least 5 million European Jews died in the Holocaust

If you'd like me to give you a breakdown of how the 5 to 6 million died:

2.5-3 million inside seven death camps (Auschwitz, Majdanek, Chelmno, Belzec, Sobibor, Treblinka, Maly Trostinets)
2-2.5 million from mass executions
0.5 million from starvation and maltreatment inside ghettos and camps.

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Postby iwh on 13 Apr 2006 15:00

I am sure that Nick can defend himself quite easily, and am sure he will do so quite effectively, however I have a couple of observations...

snookie wrote: Einsatzgruppen...also estimates because only God himself knows the real answer but various folks here on earth believe they do as well.


The Einsatzguppen death figures are well documented. Try reading Browning's The Origins of the Final Solution, p312. Many reports were sent to Berlin giving exact numbers of deaths committed by the killing squads. Numbers are quoted in the book if you require them. Browning also gives pretty detailed numbers of Jews killed by groups such as Battalion 101 in Poland. See the appendix of his book, Ordinary Men. To say that we only have wild estimates is, in my opinion misleading. We will never know the exact amount, but Historians can be reasonably accurate in their figures.


snookie wrote:Let's just use MacLeans numbers...


Why? He is not a Holocaust expert. There are others like Benz, Reitlinger, Hilberg, Gutman/Rozett, who are better examples to give.


snookie wrote: laying the guilt on the SS in particular and the entire German Nation as a whole, which is also innacurate.


Sorry, but no one in this forum has ever blaimed the German nation, as you put it. This is just another general reference to that nebulous entity known as "them", or "they". The SS of course were widely implemented in the deaths of millions of jews, but so was the Whermacht, as has been shown in recent research.

snookie wrote:those Latvians, Lithuanians, Ukranians loved killing them Jews....


whilst their German "liberators" looked on in amusement and filmed it all!


snookie wrote:What about Kaytn?


What about it? This has nothing to do with the Holocaust.

snookie wrote:Now the sickest part of the whole Holocaust thing, only Jewish deaths seem to be remembered. I am not an anti-semite but what about the 2-million non-Jewish Poles that were murdered? What about all the Russian POWs? The Mentally Ill? Gypsies? Communists? Etc?


Might I suggest that you take another look at the title of the thread?

Of course, this last quote tells me exactly where you are coming from. :cry:

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Postby nickterry on 13 Apr 2006 15:05

Hey Nick, can you direct us all to the volumes you've written on the subject at hand, since you are bad-mouthing all mine (since they do not jive w/your way of thinking)? I did not see much sourcing either Nick...isn't that why this forum is so "good" because everything is sourced.

Starter of the thread, this is exactly why there will never be any concensus...first of all they do not care about accuracy, the Germans (all of them) were just bad. Read my man Nick's post, read mine and come to your own conclusion about who/what seems more rational and decide for yourself from there.


If you'd actually read the thread, you'll see all my sources.

You can start here:

viewtopic.php?t=33429&postdays=0&postorder=asc&start=75

and you can add in more detail from the 'camps and transports' reference thread here:

viewtopic.php?t=97057

and just to give you context and comparisons, see the Soviet death toll in WWII as a whole thread here

viewtopic.php?t=96343

which emerged from the Deaths attributable to Stalin thread here

viewtopic.php?t=96274

I've advised you three times now, is it? to read thisthread in its entirety. Then you'll find what I wrote, giving links, sources, references, breakdowns by country, and discussion of the source issues involved.

Let me say this: the only reason I don't endorse the Benz team figure of 6.2 million is because the work was written 15 years ago. The figures for Poland and the Soviet Union, 4.8 million total according to Golczewski and Robel, can be revised because we've had 15 years free access to the East European archives with much more data now available - hard, documentary proof covering all the different districts in Poland, Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, Belarus, the Ukraine, Russia and Moldova. I mention above in this thread some of the work that's been done on individual regions, but you have to recalculate a hell of a lot depending on what borders you use for when, because Poland was part-annexed by the Soviet Union.

For the Soviet Union in its post-1945 borders, a figure of 2.8 million has been arrived at. It's pretty thoroughly calculated, I'm sorry to say. But we need to look at Poland and the Soviet Union together, just to make sure we have all the overlap regions properly separated out. Places like the Galicia district, in which all serious historians (Pohl, Sandkuehler, Kruglov) calculate at least half a million Jews died, alone. That's three separate historians who've treble-checked the work, independently of each other.

Until that work is re-done, we won't know for sure. But when it is, we will, to within a much narrower margin of error. For the moment, I feel entirely confident that the minimum figure is at least 5 million.
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Postby iwh on 13 Apr 2006 15:06

Looks like Nick got to the submit button before I did.

snookie wrote:Read my man Nick's post, read mine and come to your own conclusion about who/what seems more rational and decide for yourself from there.


Sorry Snooks old boy, but you are way, way, way out of your depth here.Give in while you can!!

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Postby nickterry on 13 Apr 2006 15:13

snookie wrote:
iwh wrote:Looks like Nick got to the submit button before I did.

snookie wrote:Read my man Nick's post, read mine and come to your own conclusion about who/what seems more rational and decide for yourself from there.


Sorry Snooks old boy, but you are way, way, way out of your depth here.Give in while you can!!


Some people have a life iwh old "boy"?
and
If the "depth" here is sticking to 60 year old numbers in the face of mountains of evidence, then I am glad I am way out of it.


Ermmm, we've been trying to tell you that it's quite the opposite. 60 years of research with mountains of evidence is what I am relying on, not out-of-date guesstimates written in the 40s.

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Postby iwh on 13 Apr 2006 15:16

snookie wrote:If the "depth" here is sticking to 60 year old numbers in the face of mountains of evidence, then I am glad I am way out of it.


Hmmm....what "mountains of evidence" would that be? Where does it come from? Actually don't answer that, I think I just might know.

As Nick said, more recent findings see the actual numbers of Jewish deaths actually increasing, not decreasing.

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Postby Sergey Romanov on 13 Apr 2006 15:24

You people w/selective quoting and selective sourcing are an embarassment.


This is said by a 'person' who used an irrelevant source to make a hasty conclusion on a serious matter. What's that sound? My irony meter just blew up!

One doesn't pick just any book about the Holocaust and choose any range of numbers. Indeed, after 60 years of research we HAVE arrived at more or less definitve figures for the camps. For example, about 1 million victims in Auschwitz (about 900,000 of the Jews). NOT 1.5 million, NOT 1.6 million. This is based on research of Piper, Gerlach and Aly.

For Treblinka - about 800,000, give or take few tens of thousands. NOT 900,000, NOT 700,000, NOT 1,000,000. This is based on transport lists and Hoefle telegram.

So with the years the wiggle room narrowed considerably. I am skeptical about the six million number, since indeed there were many decreases for the camps, and one cannot just dump the difference somewhere in USSR. But so what if it is 5 million, what Hilberg has been saying all along? Or even 4 million - that still would be the Holocaust, now, wouldn't it?

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