#68
Post
by Sid Guttridge » 31 Dec 2014, 17:34
Hi CJK1990,
The idea that Mussolini was complicit in his own removal is implausible. He could have stepped down at any time.
Mussolini had been ruling autocratically for 20+ years in a constitutional system that had multiple checks and balances that should, theoretically, have held him to account. Yet the Monarchy, Parliament, the Judiciary and his own party's Grand Council had all given him pretty much free rein for two decades. He was habituated to (1) getting his own way and (2) ignoring opposition.
Mussolini went into the Grand Council with this history. He probably thought that either he would win the continued support of his Party's leaders or could ignore any adverse vote.
He had resources available to keep himself in power by force - the "M" Division, the Germans, etc., but he did not resort to them.
I think Dili may be right. The critical factor could be that, by mid 1943, Mussolini was exhausted, ill, depressed and lacked resilience. He simply went back to work and acted as if nothing of import had been decided at the meeting. The waters then closed over his head.
Cheers,
Sid.
P.S. 1,700,000 men under arms is not the same as having an effective army at home. The Germans had refused to allow Mussolini to repatriate most occupation divisions in the Balkans and France. These amounted to most of what were, by Italian standards, the country's first line formations. In Italy itself, around half the remaining divisions were so-called "Coastal Divisions". These were under equipped, static formations with obsolete weaponry and ageing manpower. They had virtually no military value. The Army's armoured and mechanized formations had been lost in their entirety in North Africa and Russia. Those that had been rebuilt had little experience. Generally, Italian weaponry was obsolete and mechanization very limited. And so on.
In short, even if the Italian Army did have 1,700,000 men, few were combat ready within Italy, even by limited Italian standards.
And then we get on to the question of loyalty to his regime. Even Mussolini's own Fascist Blackshirt militias had proved unreliable in trying to put down the strikes in the armaments plants earlier in the year. The Italian Army was the Royal Army, not Mussolini's Army. Its oath was to the King, not the Duce.