Niklas68 wrote:By late 1944 I don't think germany had the logistics/ naval surface units needed to evacuate the number of troops deployed in Norway. Kurland pocket is a different thing, the troops there got cut off, but still occupied large Red army forces and inflicted high casualties on them, had they somehow been able to withdraw these troops to protect germany the same RA forces would be set free to be used on germany directly, doesnt seem to make much difference for the overall picture, in my eyes.
German navy was able to evacuate millions of civilians from eastern areas of Germany without any problem. I don't see why it would be impossible to evacuate significantly smaller numbers of soldiers. As to the Courland pocket, yes it was tying up some Soviet forces, but it was never more than a screening force (if it was really much larger, it would have overrun pocket without problem) composed of weak 1 Baltic Front. On the other hand, Germans had two whole armies, 16. and 18; lost to any meaningfull action, defending some Baltic wasteland while industrial heartland of Silesia was overrun and Berlin itself was threatened. The idea that those Red Army units blockading the Germans in Courland would be available for offensive on Berlin is not really plausible considering the huge logistic problems Soviets had even supplying those men they already had in front of Berlin, not to mention yet another Front they would have to support. If Germans really wanted to use the Festung concept effectively, the best strategy would have been to retreat forces from Courland pocket before the Soviet January offensive and to use them for building fortified places in key railroad junctions in Poland; like Posnan, Lodz, Breslau and others (Breslau and Posnan have indeed been turned into Festungs, though hastily and without any planning, so they were not really effective), which would prevent the Red Army from advancing deeper into German territory even if they had pierced the German front, because of logistic problems in supplying their huge forces that have gone to far from their nearest railheads. Also, such reinforced garrisons, if properly defended and supported by counter-attacks by German forces on the main front, might really tie great number of Soviet troops that would be required to reduce them and in doing so give breething time to reorganise German defences.