Deaths attributable to the Stalin regime

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gaussianum
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Re: Why is it forbidden in this forum to discuss Communism c

#1

Post by gaussianum » 25 Feb 2006, 23:19

nickterry wrote:
To put it bluntly, the answer is 'no, the Nazis murdered more than the Soviets did', since the Nazis murdered considerably more than the 5-6 million victims of the genocide of European Jews, not least among other nationalities many Latvians, Estonians, Lithuanians, Belorussians, Ukrainians, Russians and Poles, most of whom generally found Nazi occupation more onerous and unpleasant than Soviet rule.

Soviet crimes include 800,000 recorded executions between 1921-1953, excluding Katyn, and tens of thousands more during the annexations in 1939-41 and reannexations from 1944 onwards. Thus up to one million. Then there are the GULag deaths and deaths among deportees (Kulaks, Chechens, Poles etc) which come to 2 to 3 million, factoring in all uncertainties, between 1921-1953.

Stalin may have starved the Ukraine deliberately (opinions differ as to whether it was deliberate), but so too did the Nazis starve Soviet prisoners of war, civilians and inhabitants of Leningrad (opinions differ as to whether it was deliberate).
Really? An article by Matthew White:

Soviet Union, Stalin's regime (1924-53): 20 000 000 [make link]

* There are basically two schools of thought when it comes to the number who died at Stalin's hands. There's the "Why doesn't anyone realize that communism is the absolutely worst thing ever to hit the human race, without exception, even worse than both world wars, the slave trade and bubonic plague all put together?" school, and there's the "Come on, stop exaggerating. The truth is horrifying enough without you pulling numbers out of thin air" school. The two schools are generally associated with the right and left wings of the political spectrum, and they often accuse each other of being blinded by prejudice, stubbornly refusing to admit the truth, and maybe even having a hidden agenda. Also, both sides claim that recent access to former Soviet archives has proven that their side is right.
* Here are a few illustrative estimates from the Big Numbers school:
o Adler, N., Victims of Soviet Terror, 1993 cites these:
+ Chistyakovoy, V. (Neva, no.10): 20 million killed during the 1930s.
+ Dyadkin, I.G. (Demograficheskaya statistika neyestestvennoy smertnosti v SSSR 1918-1956 ): 56 to 62 million "unnatural deaths" for the USSR overall, with 34 to 49 million under Stalin.
+ Gold, John.: 50-60 million.
o Davies, Norman (Europe A History, 1998): c. 50 million killed 1924-53, excluding WW2 war losses. This would divide (more or less) into 33M pre-war and 17M after 1939.
o Rummel, 1990: 61,911,000 democides in the USSR 1917-87, of which 51,755,000 occurred during the Stalin years. This divides up into:
+ 1923-29: 2,200,000 (plus 1M non-democidal famine deaths)
+ 1929-39: 15,785,000 (plus 2M non-democidal famine)
+ 1939-45: 18,157,000
+ 1946-54: 15,613,000 (plus 333,000 non-democidal famine)
+ TOTAL: 51,755,000 democides and 3,333,000 non-demo. famine
o William Cockerham, Health and Social Change in Russia and Eastern Europe: 50M+
o Wallechinsky: 13M (1930-32) + 7M (1934-38)
+ Cited by Wallechinsky:
# Medvedev, Roy (Let History Judge): 40 million.
# Solzhenitsyn, Aleksandr: 60 million.
o MEDIAN: 51 million for the entire Stalin Era; 20M during the 1930s.
* And from the Lower Numbers school:
o Nove, Alec ("Victims of Stalinism: How Many?" in J. Arch Getty (ed.) Stalinist Terror: New Perspectives, 1993): 9,500,000 "surplus deaths" during the 1930s.
o Cited in Nove:
+ Maksudov, S. (Poteri naseleniya SSSR, 1989): 9.8 million abnormal deaths between 1926 and 1937.
+ Tsaplin, V.V. ("Statistika zherty naseleniya v 30e gody" 1989): 6,600,000 deaths (hunger, camps and prisons) between the 1926 and 1937 censuses.
+ Dugin, A. ("Stalinizm: legendy i fakty" 1989): 642,980 counterrevolutionaries shot 1921-53.
+ Muskovsky Novosti (4 March 1990): 786,098 state prisoners shot, 1931-53.
o Gordon, A. (What Happened in That Time?, 1989, cited in Adler, N., Victims of Soviet Terror, 1993): 8-9 million during the 1930s.
o Ponton, G. (The Soviet Era, 1994): cites an 1990 article by Milne, et al., that excess deaths 1926-39 were likely 3.5 million and at most 8 million.
o MEDIAN: 8.5 Million during the 1930s.
* As you can see, there's no easy compromise between the two schools. The Big Numbers are so high that picking the midpoint between the two schools would still give us a Big Number. It may appear to be a rather pointless argument -- whether it's fifteen or fifty million, it's still a huge number of killings -- but keep in mind that the population of the Soviet Union was 164 million in 1937, so the upper estimates accuse Stalin of killing nearly 1 out of every 3 of his people, an extremely Polpotian level of savagery. The lower numbers, on the other hand, leave Stalin with plenty of people still alive to fight off the German invasion.
* [Letter]
* Although it's too early to be taking sides with absolute certainty, a consensus seems to be forming around a death toll of 20 million. This would adequately account for all documented nastiness without straining credulity:
o In The Great Terror (1969), Robert Conquest suggested that the overall death toll was 20 million at minimum -- and very likely 50% higher, or 30 million. This would divide roughly as follows: 7M in 1930-36; 3M in 1937-38; 10M in 1939-53. By the time he wrote The Great Terror: A Re-assessment (1992), Conquest was much more confident that 20 million was the likeliest death toll.
o Britannica, "Stalinism": 20M died in camps, of famine, executions, etc., citing Medvedev
o Brzezinski: 20-25 million, dividing roughly as follows: 7M destroying the peasantry; 12M in labor camps; 1M excuted during and after WW2.
o Daniel Chirot:
+ "Lowest credible" estimate: 20M
+ "Highest": 40M
+ Citing:
# Conquest: 20M
# Antonov-Ovseyenko: 30M
# Medvedev: 40M
o Courtois, Stephane, Black Book of Communism (Le Livre Noir du Communism): 20M for the whole history of Soviet Union, 1917-91.
+ Essay by Nicolas Werth: 15M
+ [Ironic observation: The Black Book of Communism seems to vote for Hitler as the answer to the question of who's worse, Hitler (25M) or Stalin (20M).]
o John Heidenrich, How to Prevent Genocide: A Guide for Policymakers, Scholars, and the Concerned Citizen (2001): 20M, incl.
+ Kulaks: 7M
+ Gulag: 12M
+ Purge: 1.2M (minus 50,000 survivors)
o Adam Hochschild, The Unquiet Ghost: Russians Remember Stalin: directly responsible for 20 million deaths.
o Tina Rosenberg, The Haunted Land: Facing Europes Ghosts After Communism (1995): upwards of 25M
o Time Magazine (13 April 1998): 15-20 million.
* AVERAGE: Of the 17 estimates of the total number of victims of Stalin, the median is 30 million.
* Individual Gulags etc.
http://users.erols.com/mwhite28/warstat1.htm

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Sergey Romanov
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#2

Post by Sergey Romanov » 25 Feb 2006, 23:57

White simply gathers many sources together, some simply crazy, e.g. "56 to 62 million "unnatural deaths" for the USSR overall, with 34 to 49 million under Stalin" or " 50 million killed 1924-53, excluding WW2 war losses" or "Solzhenitsyn, Aleksandr: 60 million".

What is this tripe supposed to prove?


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#3

Post by nickterry » 26 Feb 2006, 00:23

Sergey Romanov wrote:White simply gathers many sources together, some simply crazy, e.g. "56 to 62 million "unnatural deaths" for the USSR overall, with 34 to 49 million under Stalin" or " 50 million killed 1924-53, excluding WW2 war losses" or "Solzhenitsyn, Aleksandr: 60 million".

What is this tripe supposed to prove?
Rummel, Davies, Conquest, Solzhenitsyn all have blatant axes to grind. Rummel's numbers are complete nonsense. Note that even Orlando Figes grossly exaggerates victims of Cheka terror during the Civil War. No study that does not proceed country-by-country, province-by-province or with carefully compiled central data is acceptable for either Stalin or Hitler.

The best estimates are

STALIN

for 'murder' 1st degree = 1 million executions

for 'murder 2nd degree (deaths in camps) = 2 to 3 million

for 'manslaughter' (famine starvation) or at best murder 2nd degree
= between 6 to 8 million

for 'kidnapping' (deportation) = 12 million, deaths included above.

HITLER

for 'murder' 1st degree
- 5 to 6 million European Jews
- at least 3 million executions of non-Jewish Poles and Soviet civilians
- hundreds of thousands of executions in Yugoslavia, Greece, Italy (15,000), France etc

for 'murder' 2nd degree, some actually 1st degree (executions inside camps)
- minimum 500,000 non-Jewish KZ victims (51,000 French alone)

for 'manslaughter' or murder 2nd degree
- 2 to 3 million Soviet POWs starved
- 900,000 Leningraders starved
- 2 to 3 million Soviet civilians starved in occupied territories or Germany

for 'kidnapping' (deportation) = 6 million foreign workers, deaths included above

Hitler had the undoubted edge in outright murder, Stalin was good at deporting people.

Both were utter sh*ts. Stalinist communism was in the medium term as bankrupt and incapable of reproducing itself as Nazism or fascism was in the short term. Both are historical corpses. The crimes of neither can be used to rehabilitate the other.

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#4

Post by Sergey Romanov » 26 Feb 2006, 00:37

Rummel's numbers are complete nonsense.
Yep. I have dealt with this (and another) twit here:

http://forum.axishistory.com/viewtopic. ... c&start=15

BTW, do you think that for several hundreds of thousands of Jews (many who died in ghettoes, trains...) "manslaughter" might be better applied?

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#5

Post by nickterry » 26 Feb 2006, 00:47

BTW, do you think that for several hundreds of thousands of Jews (many who died in ghettoes, trains...) "manslaughter" might be better applied?
yes, manslaughter going on to murder 2nd degree. I personally feel deliberate starvation, indirect killing through hunger, is at least murder 2nd degree, e.g. Warsaw Ghetto, Stalags of Soviet POWs, brutality in KZs, GULags, etc. But it is qualitatively different to the Genickschuss or gas-chamber.

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#6

Post by gaussianum » 26 Feb 2006, 01:00

nickerry,

Sorry, but your numbers, apart from being completely unsourced, only prove that Stalin did in fact commit more murders. 20-30 million communist-caused deaths appears to be the consensuous number among historians.

Do Dyadkin, Cockerham, etc, etc , also have axes to grind?

Regards

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#7

Post by nickterry » 26 Feb 2006, 03:54

gaussianum wrote:nickerry,

Sorry, but your numbers, apart from being completely unsourced, only prove that Stalin did in fact commit more murders. 20-30 million communist-caused deaths appears to be the consensuous number among historians.

Do Dyadkin, Cockerham, etc, etc , also have axes to grind?

Regards
My sources were listed and discussed in the 'how many Jews were killed for real' thread, in which I also posted references to literature on the demographics of Soviet repression and indeed Soviet demographics. See also no doubt Sergey's thread on Rummel for more information.

What axes Dyadkin and Cockerham have to grind I do not know, but be rational: 50 million is nearly 1/3 of the population of the Soviet Union in 1939. I suspect all such figures are factoring in deaths during the war (20-28 million). If you believe 20-30 million repression deaths, then document it, please.

The consensus among historians is more like the following, by the way:
The best estimate that can currently be made of the number of repression deaths in 1937–38 is the range 950,000–1.2 million, i.e. about a million. This is the estimate which should be used by historians, teachers and journalists concerned with twentieth century Russian—and world—history.
Ellman concludes the following:
The number of deportees (first peasant victims of collectivisation and then mainly the victims of ethnic cleansing) seems to have been about 6 million. Currently available information suggests that the number of those sentenced on political charges was also about 6 million. If these two categories are deemed asthe ‘victims of repression’ then the number of the latter was about 12 million. (Of these, from 1921 onwards about 3–3.5 million seem to have died from shooting, while in detention, or while being deported or in deportation. In addition, a currently unknown number died shortly after being released from the Gulag as a result of their treatment in it. Furthermore, a currently unknown number were killed by the Bolsheviks in 1918–20.) This total of about 12 million (of whom at least 3–3.5 million were fatal) can be reduced by, say, 1.4 million by subtracting the number of those ‘justifiably punished for political offences’.
Here he refers to collaborators, Vlasovsty and the like. It is not an unfair point, but it makes no material difference to the extent.

Note also his 3-3.5 million includes both the execution and GULag death statistics plus deaths among resettlers.

Ellman goes on:
During the Soviet period the main causes of excess deaths (which were mainly in 1918–23, 1931–34 and 1941–45) were not repression but war, famine and disease. The decline in mortality rates during the Soviet period led to a large number of excess lives.... Repression was enormously important politically and was a series of ghastly crimes. It was both mass murder and mass manslaughter. Under current international law it constituted a series of crimes against humanity. It also affected a large part of the population. In absolute numbers of victims, it was one of the worst episodes in the long and cruel history of political persecution. However, repression mortality (excluding famine, war and disease mortality, and repression survivors) was only a modest part of the demographic history of the USSR.
This is the source I referred to before my original posts on this thread, by the way, since he summarises a lot of other historians.

EUROPE-ASIA STUDIES,Vol. 54, No. 7, 2002, 1151–1172: Soviet Repression Statistics: SomeComments
MICHAEL ELLMAN

I think you might even find it via public-access web links if you google the above properly.

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#8

Post by Sergey Romanov » 26 Feb 2006, 12:53

I should add that a significant part (maybe even a majority) of camp inmates were quite real criminals. Political "criminals" were, of course, only a part of the whole contingent. So whether the number of the victims of repressions who died in camps is equal to the number of ALL people who died in camps is debatable.

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#9

Post by Boby » 26 Feb 2006, 13:24

Hello all

During 1924-1953:

4.045.924 Condemned:
-2.605.001 to Camps, Colonies and Prisons
of them, 1.053.839 Died
-787.378 to execution
-409.485 Deported & Exiled
-212.136 Other measures

Source:

For 1934-1953 data: J. Arch Getty, Gábor T. Rittersporn and Viktor N. Zemskov "Victims of the Soviet Penal System in the Pre-war Years: A first Approach on the Basis of Archival Evidence", American Historical Review, Vol. 98, nº 4 (October 1993), pp. 1048-1049

For 1924-1933 data: http://forum.axishistory.com/viewtopic. ... um&start=0

Edited: Only of Stalin years

Best Regards
Last edited by Boby on 26 Feb 2006, 13:55, edited 2 times in total.

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#10

Post by Sergey Romanov » 26 Feb 2006, 13:29

Do Dyadkin, Cockerham, etc, etc , also have axes to grind?
This is ahistorical approach. Sometimes historians do mindlessly repeat others' figures. E.g. Lucy Dawidowicz accepted that about 1.500.000 died in Majdanek, among them 1,380,000 Jews. But there never was a reason to accept this Soviet figure. For a long time it has been consensus that 360,000 died in Majdanek, then - 235,000. The new research shows 78,000 victims, among them 59,000 Jews. Imagine how someone quoting Dawidowicz in all seriousness would be looked upon now.

Another case in point is Belzec death toll. For a long time it was widely accepted that 600,000 died there, and you will still find this number in most sources. But then Hoefle's telegram was unearthed, which showed that the number of victims was ca. 435,000.

Many historians accepted that several millions (at least two) died in Auschwitz. Later it was established that about 1 million died there. And no, simply listing all the different estimates does not prove otherwise.

So simply quoting some figures - especially old figures - hardly proves anything. One must look at how they were arrived at and whether they square with the newest data. It is not even a matter of axe grinding - quite possibly, many historians believed, based on inadequate sources (including testimonial evidence) that there were tens of millions murders. Then the Soviet archives were opened, so the figures had to be revised downwards (just as is the case with the Nazi extermination camps).

Moreover, there is indeed a difference between degrees of murder and manslaughter, as Nick has correctly pointed out.

Imagine two situations:

1) Babysitter has fun with her boyfriend, neglecting a baby, who dies of asphyxiation.

2) Babysitter stuffs a baby into a microwave.

In both cases there is no doubt that babysitter is responsible for baby's death, yet the situations are qualitatively different. It is the question of intent. For the famine of 1932-1933 the intent to murder Ukrainians (only one of the groups who suffered, although they suffered most) has not been established (cf. http://forum.axishistory.com/viewtopic. ... c&start=30 ) I don't think anybody but cranks would argue that Stalin's regime was not _responsible_ for the outrageous famine death toll. But it hasn't been proven that it was "1st degree murder".

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#11

Post by Sven-Eric » 26 Feb 2006, 15:51

This is interesting, Sergey. What is the exact source for the claim that 78.000 perished in Maidanek? And also, I would like to have some more info about this Hoefl telegram.

Best,
Sven-Eric

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#12

Post by nickterry » 26 Feb 2006, 15:57

Sven-Eric wrote:This is interesting, Sergey. What is the exact source for the claim that 78.000 perished in Maidanek? And also, I would like to have some more info about this Hoefl telegram.

Best,
Sven-Eric

Majdanek: Thomas Kranz, widely discussed article from Majdanek museum journal (Google Thomas Kranz Majdanek and you should find plenty of links, it has been discussed on the Auschwitz museum website for example).

Hoefle telegram: Witte, Peter and Tyas, Stephen, ‘A New Document on the Deportation and Murder of Jews during ‘Einsatz Reinhardt’ 1942’, Holocaust and Genocide Studies 15/3, 2001, pp.468-486. Try searching for Aktion reinhardt on this forum, it will have been discussed before.

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#13

Post by David Thompson » 26 Feb 2006, 16:49

For interested readers trying to follow this discussion: Back in 2002, Roberto Muehlenkamp posted the text of the Hoefle telegram on the Treblinka I/II thread at: http://forum.axishistory.com/viewtopic.php?p=268#268

The meaning and implications of the telegram are discussed at: http://forum.axishistory.com/viewtopic. ... 269#121269 and in the thread:

"Aktion Reinhardt" -- What did it denote?
http://forum.axishistory.com/viewtopic.php?t=64215

The "How meany [sic] Jews were killed for real?" thread can be seen at http://forum.axishistory.com/viewtopic.php?t=33429 nickterry's extensive statistical posts begin at p. 9 of that thread.

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links for Stalinist repressions

#14

Post by nickterry » 26 Feb 2006, 17:13

links for Stalinist repressions

most of the 1990s journal exchanges between Wheatcroft, Getty et al vs Conquest, Keep and Rosefielde can be found here;

http://sovietinfo.tripod.com

Russian readers can find more from Memorial website, online books:

http://www.memo.ru/about/biblio/

Memorial Kiev (mostly Ukrainian)

http://memorial.kiev.ua

Ukrainian famine (mostly English)

http://www.artukraine.com/famineart/reprstats.htm

More unpublished papers at

http://www2.warwick.ac.uk/fac/soc/econo ... ive/persa/

Mark Tauger's homepage

http://www.as.wvu.edu/history/Faculty/Tauger/soviet.htm

Russian-language academic history works via pdf

http://www.auditorium.ru/p/index.php?a= ... pline_id=2

Katyn website

http://katyn.codis.ru/

Pavel Polian, Against Their Will

http://www.amazon.co.uk/exec/obidos/ASI ... 41-0259058

Russian version on-line:

http://www.memo.ru/history/deport/index.htm

Russian text of order 00447 and other documents online, Kursk Memorial website

http://www.memorial.krsk.ru/DOKUMENT/USSR/370730.htm

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#15

Post by batu » 26 Feb 2006, 18:08

by nickterry
HITLER

for 'murder' 1st degree
- 5 to 6 million European Jews
- at least 3 million executions of non-Jewish Poles and Soviet civilians
- hundreds of thousands of executions in Yugoslavia, Greece, Italy (15,000), France etc

for 'murder' 2nd degree, some actually 1st degree (executions inside camps)
- minimum 500,000 non-Jewish KZ victims (51,000 French alone)

for 'manslaughter' or murder 2nd degree
- 2 to 3 million Soviet POWs starved
- 900,000 Leningraders starved
- 2 to 3 million Soviet civilians starved in occupied territories or Germany

for 'kidnapping' (deportation) = 6 million foreign workers, deaths included above

Hitler had the undoubted edge in outright murder, Stalin was good at deporting people.
you number for the Soviet civilians perished (executed and starved) from German hands is approximately 6-7 millions.
It is commongly acknowledged that the USSR lost about 27 million people of which 14-17 millions were civilians.
So, something doesn't match here, or maybe I missed something?
regards,
Batu.

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