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- Joined: 24 Dec 2015 00:02
- Location: SoCal
Personally, I think that there's a very real chance that the US could get militarily involved in Cuba and/or Laos in this scenario. I'm not sure if a President Nixon would have allowed the Bay of Pigs invasion to just fail like that, and, if so, he might have been prepared to send in US ground troops to Cuba in order to ensure that Fidel Castro would indeed get overthrown in 1961. I do wonder just how capable the Cuban Communists would have actually been in subsequently conducting an anti-US insurgency in Cuba, of course. It would have undoubtedly been harder than in Vietnam since the US could simply completely blockade Cuba considering that Cuba, unlike Vietnam, is an island. Also, shortly before he left office, President Eisenhower told JFK to do anything and everything to prevent Laos from falling to the Communists. While JFK ignored Eisenhower's advice, opting for a neutralization solution for Laos instead (one that was largely a fig leaf in any case), Nixon, who was Eisenhower's VP, might have been more willing to listen to Eisenhower's advice in regards to this if he himself was actually the US President in 1961 instead of JFK. Conducting a land war in Laos against the Laotian Communists and their Vietnamese Communist allies might have been hell for the US due to logistics and Laos's remote, isolated location, but at least the US could presumably send additional troops and supplies to Laos through Thailand--though it would also very likely have to significantly develop the infrastructure in the northeastern part of Thailand (Isan) in the process of doing this. If the US is actually able to achieve a full victory in Laos, the odds of which I am HIGHLY uncertain, then the Vietnamese Communists would no longer be able to infiltrate South Vietnam through the Ho Chi Minh Trail, thus almost certainly making it significantly easier for South Vietnam to successfully deal with them.
Anyway, any thoughts on all of this?