ljadw wrote:No :
AH would have been happy with a small war against Serbia .
The problem was that Austria didnt care if she dragged Germany into a war by doing so, even when Germany did protest belatedly.
ljadw wrote:Something as the occupatio of Belgrade and a financial compensation.
That must be why Sazonov ruled out Halt in Belgrade and never made any suggestion to support your claim, if anything comments very much different were made by different people in the Austrian leadership.
ljadw wrote:Russia would have accepted this :it did not declare war on AH when, after a month of dawdling and eexhortations of an irritated Germany, AH declared war on Serbia,DoW not followed by an invasion .
Given we have only a few days before declarations of war took place, we do not know what would have happened if the declarations had not been made. We do know that Russia intended to move if Austria attacked Serbia, and we know Austria always intended to do this.
ljadw wrote:Germany was interested in a war between AH and Serbia only if this war triggered a war between Russia and AH,which would give Germany the excuse to declare war on Russia, war, which had as only importance that it would trigger a French intervention which would make possible a war between Germany and FRance .
Almost all conjecture. If what you say were to be true, all Germany needed to do was wait until 12th August when Austria would attack Serbia.
ljadw wrote:The AH DoW on Serbia did not result in war between AH and Russia .
It caused Russia to take the last step before resorting to war, so it is likely Austria troops entering Serbia would lead them to take the final step.
ljadw wrote:AH was not impressed by the Russian mobilisation, thus there was no reason for German to be impressed .
Austria concluded that the Russian actions meant they had to move to mobilising the units on the Galician front, and thus to full mobilisation for themselves too. This gave Austria casus foederis under the alliance system, thus causing Germany to follow suit if requested. Moltke's memo points out many scenarios all stemming from Austria going to war with Serbia, and all end in a general war down to the automated nature of those systems. He was shown to be correct.
ljadw wrote:The Russian threat for Germany did not exist.
I think we can file this under rubbish. There is enough indication that Germany was unwilling to see another Russian invasion with the dreaded cossacks. It may not have been realistic but it was still very much feared.
ljadw wrote:There was no French threat, otherwise Germany would have mentioned it in its DoW on France .
There was no need for a French threat in the eyes of the Germans as their only war plan needed them to take France out of the war as fast as possible. France was deemed too untrustworthy and likely hostile anyhow to be trusted in a Russo-German war.
ljadw wrote:When there was no war in the east, Germany started him, hoping that it would start a war in the west,and when there was no war in the west, Germany was forced to invent a lame excuse to start him .
After Sarajevo, the Emperor said : it's now or never,but everyone -Serbia, AH, Russia and France sabotaged the German plan, because they were unwilling to start an European war,only Germany wanted this war;and prepared him before there was a DoW and before ONE soldier was killed .
Remember the Api Api telegram of July 25, remember the occupation of Luxembourg which was ordered and started before the DoW on Russia .
Pretty much all conjecture based on hindsight.