1) Switserland was not a part of the German Empire and did not want to be a part of it ; Austria wanted to be a part of the German Empire;this is a historical fact, although you refuse to accept it .Sid Guttridge wrote:Hi ljadw,
You post. "1) In 1938 being German and independent of a centralised German state were mutually exclusive." Even in 1938 this was not so. I mention, again, Liechtenstein and most of Switzerland. Both were German or largely German and both wanted and actively worked to remain free of a centralized German state. As we have seen, one of Lamarck's sources even opines that two-thirds of Austrians might also have supported Schussnigg's proposed referendum recommending that German Austria should remain independent.
You post, "2) About the referendum : Schuschnig never held a free referendum, because he knew he would lose . The nazis did not prevent Schuschnigg's referendum, they prevented his rigged referendum. This is totally different ." Not so. Firstly, Schussnigg clearly wanted a referendum, he called one and I have given you the text of it previously. Secondly, there is also no doubt that the Nazis prevented it taking place because they invaded Austria to stop it.. Thirdly, we simply do not know to what degree, if any, Schussnigg's referendum would have been rigged, precisely because the Nazis prevented it.
The Saarland plebiscite was rather different. It asked the almost entirely German population of an existing part of Germany whether it wanted to become part of a foreign country (France), continue in limbo under the League of Nations, or revert to Germany. By contrast, Austria had traditionally been independent of a centralized German state and was under no threat from any foreign power.
You post, "Thus Schuschnig would have 99 % in his rigged referendum"..... on what can you possibly base this figure if Schussngig's referendum never took place? It is meaningless nonsense.
You post, ".....Hitler would have between 80 % and 90 % in a free referendum" Again, this is based on no more than the unverifiable opinions of sources you have selected to the exclusion of all others, including those offered by Lamarck. This is pure cherry picking and without substantive validity.
You post, "..... (Hitler would have ) had 99 % in a rigged referendum". Yup. At last you make a proposition based on a hard historical fact! We know this to be true because Hitler did rig his plebiscite and this did produce a figure 99% in his favour.
And you post, ".....and Schuschnig would lose in a free referendum." Perhaps, perhaps not. We will never know, because his cleverly worded plebiscite was not allowed to take place because the Nazis, who were clearly running scared of it, invaded Austria to stop it.
The available evidence seems to support the plausible proposition that the Nazis might have won a free and fair plebiscite in favour of Anschluss with a clear majority. However, it does not support any proposition that Austrian public opinion was "overwhelmingly" in favour of Anschluss, or fixed on the issue, because it appears that Schussnigg's independence plebiscite also had a plausible possibility of passing.
Cheers,
Sid.
2) We have the proofs that the Schuschnig referendum would be rigged ,because a ) a dictator never holds a free referendum b ) there were only 5 days to organize the referendum: you can't organize a free referendum in 5 days, only a rigged one, besides: there were no electoral lists .
3 ) Hitler's rigged referenda gave him 99 %, Schuschnig's rigged referendum would also give him 99 %, Stalin's rigged elections also gave him 99 % .
4 ) In a free referendum Hitler got 90 + % (Saar ) , in a rigged referendum he would have more .
5) Of course: Schuschnig would lose in a free referendum ,that's why he organized a rigged one .
6) The difference between clear and overwhelming majority is semantics : more than 60 % is overwhelming . In 1962 the French approved in a referendum the election of the president by the people with a majority of 62 %; every one admitted that this was overwhelming .
Schuschnig never organized a free referendum,because he knew he would lose (his result was negative)while the League organised a free referendum where people voted for the Anschluss of the Saar with Germany, knowing the existance of the Gestapo, etc, with 90 %+
A rigged referendum does not mean that the dictator would lose in a free referendum : Stalin would have won free elections, because his results were considered good .
The Austrians considered the results of Schuschnig as very bad : there were 600000 people unemployed in Austria( almost 10 % of the population) , in Germany it was 1 % . Social security was, compared to Germany, very bad in Austria .
If there were in Britain 6 million unemployed and May would organize a referendum about Europe (pro or anti ), she would lose : the Austrians had enough of Schuschnig and since 1918 they wanted the Anschluss with Germany; if someone else ruled Austria, he also would lose ;maybe with less % than Schuschnig. The enemies of Hitler said that Schuschnig would have only 20 % in a free referendum;Schuschnigg knew that he had no chance in a free referendum .
If someone would ask : why would Schuschnig lose in a free referendum , the answer would be : the longing to Great Germany ,and : it's the economy,you stupid .