#30
Post
by Sid Guttridge » 04 Dec 2021, 06:24
Hi ljadw,
You post, "1 There is no proof that 83 % of the population of Vienna did chose absence : most of them could not be present .Because of health,of work, etc." There is no proof of this. However, there is evidence that 83% were absent and that far more might have turned out - in Linz, where 40% was claimed!
You post, "2 Everyone admits that those who were not saluting Winston at Buckingham Palace on D Day, agreed with those who saluted him." You are thinking of VE Day on 8 May 1945. Churchill was voted out of office two months later in a landslide!
You post, "3 The 500000 who were reported (!) to be on the streets for the funeral of Dollfuss,were not only inhabitants of RED Vienna, but came also from the provinces . Thus your comparison is not valid. Dollfuss was hated in Vienna ." And yet 500,000 people still reportedly attended the funeral of "hated" Dolfuss, whose forces successfully suppressed a Nazi coup in 1934, while far fewer are reported (!) to have attended the arrival of the reportedly (!) overwhelmingly popular Hitler! Go figure!
You post, "4 That the Anschluss was a fait accompli is irrelevant". Well why did you mention it then? In fact, that it was a "fait accompli" is absolutely central, because before it Schussnigg looked likely to win his rigged plebiscite, whereas only after it was Hitler able to conduct his own rigged plebiscite.
You post, "the great majority of the Austrians supported the Anschluss and hated Schussnigg." There is no proof, as you would say, because THE TRUTH IS THAT NOBODY KNOWS THE PRECISE STATE OF AUSTRIAN PUBLIC OPINION AT THE TIME BECAUSE IT WAS NEVER PROPERLY TESTED.
You post, "5 The Schussnigg referendum was planned to be rigged,as Schussnigg had only the support of less than 10 % of the population and his supporters abandoned him very quickly ." Hitler's referendum was also "planned to be rigged".
There is no proof that "Schussnigg had only the support of less than 10 % of the population" for reasons already stated. However, the mere fact that you now claim he had support some 40 times bigger than Hitler's rigged referendum implied is indicative of just how flawed Hitler's plebiscite was. Thank you for highlighting this!
You post, "6 You still do not grasp that to vote for the Anschluss and to vote for Hitler were two different things .The opponents of Hitler were supporters of the Anschluss ." There is no proof of this. However, there is evidence that some were. Whether they were supporters of Anschluss with Hitler's particular version of Germany is another matter and might help explain why he so outrageously rigged his own refrendum. In any event, they never had the oppportunity to demonstrate this either way in a free and fair poll.
You post, "7 The Schussnigg regime was on its last days,not weeks, already on the day that Schussnigg told people that he would organize a referendum ." Yup, because Hitler was determined to overthrow Schussnigg. Schussnigg's plebiscite was designed to pre-empt this by appearing to consult the Austrian people on the subject of independence. Hitler could not allow this and invaded with his army to prevent it.
You post, "8 Hitler invaded Austria because otherwise there would be a civil war with tens of thousands of victims." Well, if so, that rather drives a coach and horses through the proposition that Schussnigg lacked significant support, don't you think?
You post, "It is..... even out of the question that Schussnigg could have organized a referendum." Not at all. The ballots were already printed. You have already been shown one. This is what worried Hitler and led him to invade. He couldn't risk an apparent popular consultation he did not himself control.
You post, "9 That Hitler's referendum was rigged was not caused by the fear of losing the referendum....." Nobody claimed otherwise. Hitler was probably worried that support below the 90% achieved in the League of Nations plebiscite in the Saarland would indicate the momentum of the Nazi project was slowing, so he felt he had to rig it.
You post, ".....but by the fact that a dictator can not organize free elections." Precisely! So we are agreed that Hitler's plebiscite was not "free".
You post, "10 The fact that the Soviet population did not oppose the regime meant that they supported the regime .The same for Germany and Austria." Or that they had no opportunity to express that in free and fair votes, and you have already said ".....a dictator cannot organise free elections." Thank you again for reinforcing my point!
You post, "free elections would not give a different result of rigged elections". There is no proof of this, unless, of course, free and fair votes are actually held to test this hypothesis. And, as you have pointed out, ".....a dictator cannot organise free elections".
You post, "11 The public opinion in Austria was tested : if 40 % of the electors said no, the Nazis could not send them to Dachau and they could not transform a 60/40 result in a 99 /1 result ." There is no proof of this. Besides, you seem to believe that even though you claim Schussnigg had only 10% support, he could have rigged his plebiscite to produce a win. If Schussnigg could do it, why on earth could Hitler have not done the same with far greater powers, including the threat of Dachau, which Schussnigg did not have?
You post, "The Austrians could have refused the Anschluss....." How, when it was already, to use your words, "a fait accompli"?
You post, ".....they could have voted against the official candidate during the communist domination ,but did not do it." We don't know that they didn't because, again in your own words, ".....a dictator cannot organise free elections." Who, therefore, knows how thay actually voted, let alone what they actually thought?
You post, "12 To rig the results was not a mistake ,but a necessity :" Thank you yet again for emphasizing that Hitler's plebiscite was rigged and not a free and fair test of Austrian public opinion.
You post, "if the real outcome was 80/20 and the Nazis published this result, outside Germany the media would say that 20 % of the population was hostile to the regime and these 20 % would demand a liberalization of the regime." This is a hypothetical of which there is no proof.
You post, "No one knew the real result, the Nazis only knew that it was less than 99 % for the Anschluss, but as long as no one knew it,there was no problem ." There is a problem if one wants to use it as evidence of the real state of Austrian public opinion!
You post, "13 99 % was an exaggeration, but as no one knew the real result, there was no problem ". There is a problem for anyone claiming Hitler's Anschluss referendum as evidence of "overwhelming" support of anything.
Any way, your agreement that, "no one knew the real result" is good enough for my purposes. It is what I have been saying all along.
Sadly, the content of Tigre's photos, while interesting in its own right, makes it impossible to entirely divorce them from their "ideological / political" context.
Cheers,
Sid