With other other words, a mining of the Norwegian "Leads" or an occupation of Narvik would not solve this problem for the British. The Germans could take all the iron ore they wanted through the Baltics during the Summer, they would only have to act accordingly as to delivery schedules, etc.
Fred, it's worth noting that mining the Leads wasn't going to be
that effective for blocking German ore traffic...as what the British did was lay AND MARK a couple of real minefields with safe channels and a number of
fake ones
What it would theoretically do is
force it out to sea out of Norway's Three Mile Limit - just beyond which uboats had been sinking BRITISH ore ships starting in February - into international waters where the RN could "apply the economic embargo" I.E. board and seize.
As for Germany sourcing its ore via Lulea and others...there was a finite limit on what throughput each port could handle
John T has supplied figures elsewhere that note that after 1940...when the Allies
did do ENOUGH damage to hugely impact Narvik's capacity to throughput for the rest of the war!...overall
annual Swedish exports of iron ore to Germany declined accordingly; that would to me hint that the trade had already reached the limits that Lulea etc.
could support in the summer months.
The discussions between the British and French leaders went on for months, resulting in nothing before the Finns surrendered on March 12th 1940.
It would be wrong to portray these talks between the Allies as one single long dragged-out discussion; it was more a case that when one party was all for it - the other wasn't; and when the party of the second part eventually was....the party of the first part had changed their minds!
This happened a number of times...because although BOTH nations'
economic warfare staffs accepted how important Swedish ore was to Germany...the
political will on the part of the two governments wavered back and forth
It took a change of government in Paris to eventually galvanise the Allies into action.
Also - for the British there was the major sticking point of legitimacy; in the last hours of the Winter War the government in London was cabling the Finns to hold on and request Allied military aid - which was sitting ready to depart - but the request simply never came. The Finns negotiated with the Soviets instead.
Finally, the British also bought Swedish ore coming through Narvik before Norway was invaded. Allied control of Narvik would therefore hinder German supplies via this port at the same time gaining the Allies' cause.
Three ore ships a week; British east coast smelters and foundries were predicated on using Swedish ore as it didn't have to be pre-sintered I.E. roasted. Loosing access to the Sweidsh ore meant sinter beds having to be built at these to keep production going, and of course an extra expense in labour and energy per ton to produce iron and steel.
But - as noted above - starting in February, British ore imports via Narvik dropped sharply due to uboats lurking just outside Norway's Three Mile Limit when the British ore carriers left the Leads to cross the North Sea...
Twenty years ago we had Johnny Cash, Bob Hope and Steve Jobs. Now we have no Cash, no Hope and no Jobs....
Lord, please keep Kevin Bacon alive...