ljadw wrote:Don't be foolish : if the 30 divisions of the Westheer could not go to the East before 22 June, it would be too late .
Don't be "foolish"? Seriously? THE GERMANS DON'T KNOW THAT.
After 22 june, the window of opportunity was closed in the East and in the West :
Which has exactly ZERO to do with the argument.
if these divisions would leave in August, the Soviets would be already in Poland , and they could not leave in August as Dragoon would happen in August .
Don't be asinine. It has been explained to you numerous times, an absolute prerequisite for ANVIL/DRAGOON was a successful NEPTUNE. The assumption here is NEPTUNE fails. Q.E.D., no ANVIL/DRAGOON.
July also would be too late as in July the Allies could start a second landing in the North .
No, they could not. A "failed" NEPTUNE implies severe losses to the assault divisions and the amphibious assets allocated to the invasion. Those could not be realistically made up in a month. The planning and preparation for the NEPTUNE assault took three and a half months of intense activity. A new plan would not be cobbled together in a month. ANVIL/DRAGOON also required the transfer of amphibious assets and naval from England to Italy, which is a second strike against that possibility.
Meanwhile, assuming by some miracle the refitting and re-planning could be done in a month...then WHERE DO THEY LAND?
Post from Sheldrake from 28 december "The Germans could release all full Pz formations from the West and 20 full strength infantry divisions . "
Why do you find it so difficult to post what he actually said? "The Germans could release all full strength Panzer formations from the West and twenty full strength infantry formations, to be replaced by cadres for rebuilding."
What point are you trying to make by paraphrasing what Sheldrake said?