No.phylo_roadking wrote:1/ was Malta worth deploying forces to that could be lost?
I well know this goes contrary to the feelings of most readers, however the Axis capture of Malta would not have changed the historical timeline of the war. Axis supplies to Africa were already working at the maximum rate allowed by the receiving capabilities of the Lybian ports. Taking Malta would not have increased such rate.
Of course Britain is forced to do something in case of invasion, just out of political / moral / propaganda reasons, but without taking too many risks.
I believe RN is going to try a night raid against the landing beaches, bombarding the beachheads. However the historical experience (Leros 1943) proves RN is likely to bombard their own troops as well. Yes, I know, Anglo-Saxon historians are quite shy with such details
Yes.phylo_roadking wrote:Did ULTRA provide enough useful data on Axis Mediterranean ops
So what? Anyone knew an invasion was being prepared since spring 1942.
No.phylo_roadking wrote:Did air and submarine assets from Malta do enough damage to Axis naval tranpsort?
It is just propaganda. Force K at some times sunk a number of ships, however if you look at the long-term picture the supply line is the same through the war years. Anyway, Malta forces can sink something only when the island is not under attack. The moment C3 convoys sail, Malta RAF has one-digit strength, with RN strength at zero (submarines can operate from Haifa, but the horde of small shallow-draught landing crafts has nothing to fear from them).
They can be sent from home, however they are not going to arrive to Malta.phylo_roadking wrote:COULD reinforcements be sent
Are you familiar with Pedestal? Consider that the Axis forces collected to stop the operation were inferior to the ones intended for C3.
Oh, you can take the entire 8th Army if you likephylo_roadking wrote:3/ What was available - and where - that could be sent?
As said above, the problem is carrying the payload to the island under STRONG (and I mean STRONG) enemy contrast.
No use. Malta terrain is not tank ground. Moreover, tanks burn a lot of fuel.phylo_roadking wrote:4/ What further mechanised assets could be sent?
By ship. To be sunk en route.phylo_roadking wrote:And HOW could they be sent?
To put things in perspective:phylo_roadking wrote:5/ Could enough damage be caused to the attacking airborne forces to force their capitualation?
A) the Axis airborne force to land during the first six hours is LARGER than the entire Malta garrison. And this only if you include in the garrison count such terrific troops as KOMR
B) such airborne force has nothing to do but dig in in place and await counter-attacks. For an example of a likely outcome, see how Folgore easily threw back an overwhelming mechanised assault at El Alamein. Yes, I know, Anglo-Saxon historians are quite shy with such details
C) the following amphibious first wave, on land 24h after the first airdrop, is going to move the balance to FOUR TO ONE.
D) in case of need, the second wave (day 3 to day 5) can move the balance to SEVEN TO ONE.
E) in any case, the Axis invasion includes something Allied troops very rarely (if ever) met: Italian troops throughfully trained for their role, employed in their planned role, provided with superior armoured assets, operating under total air superiority. When the already-quoted Anglo-Saxon historians thinks about Italian soldiers, generally they have Compass in mind.
What a strange universe. Those legendary stone walls are a huge help to the Allied garrison, but (of course) the Germans and the Italians are too dumb to use them as a mean of defence.phylo_roadking wrote:stone walls enclosing smaller fields! More broken ankles, legs and backs AND defensive-wise - think Bocage minus the hedges; dry stone walls, banked ditches and sunken lanes in a landscape that looks like the squares on a chessboard
P.S. I have yet to met a single Britishman mentally prepared to accept that there is the vague possibility that, perhaps, maybe, possibly, in some cases, who knows, Malta could fall