I am afraid strawmen arguements won't work, you're attempting to misconstruct my statements.Jon G. wrote:In other words, you are comparing one instance of a successful ULTRA interception with the totality of the B-Dienst's efforts? What exactly should that tell me about bias and overhyping?Kurfürst wrote:Such statements almost beg for the comparison : if the fact that 'the B-Dienst could read Allied convoy code for large parts of the war', with dire results for literally hundreds of ships in those convoys on the battlefield that amongst others Churchill considered decisive, counts as a 'more localized successes'... then what importance if at all did an ULTRA interception had, that lead to the sinking of two Italian tankers..?Jon G. wrote:There were some more localized successes, such as the B-Dienst which could read Allied convoy code for large parts of the war
I merely compared how you noted the B-Dienst successes in providing information about convoy routes, but then downplayed it immiditely (localised etc.), and the contrast between that and Andreas making the happy dance all over the place that ULTRA managed to do the same albeit on a MUCH smaller scale, and then you joined the happy dance on it, too.
If the B-Diesnt regularly decodes Allied convoy routes leading the sinking of hundreds of merchantmant, it's a localised success.
If ULTRA decodes far fewer Italian convoys in the Med, it's an amazing achievement leading to far reaching conclusions about the German intel in general.
I think that should tell a lot about bias and overhyping.
These examples would be everything...? What did ULTRA provided about U boot locations near convoys HX 229 and SC 112 ? What did ULTRA provided about Tirpitz's task force turning back from PQ 17, which would have made scattering the convoy unnessary and preventing the bloodbath that took place? And who disarmed the Italian army after it's surrendered, the Allies who had ULTRA and to whom the Italians were surrendering to, or the Germans who were supposed to know nothing about the whole thing?The B-Dienst could read the Allied convoy code until June 1943; held against ULTRA which provided data on everything from the location of the Bismarck at a crucial time, German troop movements into Romania and Bulgaria in the spring of 1941, Italian convoy routings and time tables, Reichsbahn mass transports of Jews to Auschwitz and a host of other things, that makes the B-Dienst's achievements a localized success in comparison.
You just noted that B-Diesnt was reading Allied naval and merchant marine codes through most of the war, and now you try to find Dönitz-quotes about the total lack of intelligence... a bit controversial, isn't it..?BTW and if memory serves me, Dönitz lamented his poor intelligence in his memoirs writing '...the enemy knew all of our secrets, and we knew none of his...' or words to that effect.
Yes of course you may ask purely rhetorical questions, but I usually don't bother to answer those. If you wish to downplay this achievement with rhetorical questions, feel free, but I don't think I need to assist to that.May I ask to which use the acquired intelligence was put?Then one wonders when exactly ULTRA had managed to broke into the highest and most closely guarded private discussions between high-ranking Axis leaders? Certainly ULTRA never managed to ever come close to the success of listening to the private talks between Churchill and FDR on the highest strategical goals.
Yes, that's a logical assumption that I can fully agree with.Well, as I also wrote, very few people knew about ULTRA until the secret was declassified in the 1970s. I further acknowledged that the late revelation of ULTRA probably lead some historians to overestimate its importance.Such are perfect examples to to overhyping that goes about ULTRA, ie. lenghty overblown celebration over the sinking of two Italian tankers and at the same time attempting to downplay and marginalize the fact that both the British Merchant and Naval codes were broken by B-Dienst for the large part of the war.
Well even my grandmothered noticed in the late spring of 1943 how many Panzers are heading to the Eastern Front, and no, she wasn't looking particularly to that kind information. Such kind of information is that easy to obtain you see, everybody can see troop movements. Only a blind man would miss 3 million German troops massing on the USSR border in 1941, but appearantly Stalin was deceived and kept uncertain, leading to the most disasterious losses.Andreas gave an example where the sinking of two Italian tankers was explained by other causes than ULTRA. How overblown is that? What you consider overblown at great length wasn't known, much less written about, until 1974.
You see I am struggling to think about what songs were on the top lists in 1974, but the calendar shows 2007 now...
These comparisons appear to me as one-sided praising of one-side, and attempt to downplay any and all achievement on the other side, and that BTW without actually having sufficient information to make a judgement, just a few examples being thrown against each other. That's of course, just an opinion of an observer.Who is praising what unconditionally here? We're simply comparing intelligence efforts.Ignoring of the facts and regardless of their weight dismiss them to arrive on pre-existing concept, basically simplistic verbally bashing of German intelligence in WW2 while unconditionally praising Allied efforts in the field is unfortunately anything but conclusive, or convincing.
Source please. J Keegen for example seems to believe the contrary.The point isn't that the Germans changed their codes, but rather that they failed to realize that their signals were being read.The notion that the Germans would be unaware of the possibility that their coded messages could be and were decoded is interesting, even more so entertaining, but factually it's just utterly naive...Failure to discover that signals were read thanks to ULTRA is an important failure of German intelligence in itself.
Of course they knew of the possibility, but they didn't draw the consequences, or, AFAIK, made any attempts to feed false information via enigma.
Absance of evidence is not evidence of absance, esp. as 'AFAIK' is the keyword here. That's why I noted the area of WW2 German/Italian intel is insufficiently covered by the literature.
One of the reason why ULTRA's importance has been overhyped over the years is the fact that during the war years, ULTRA provided the only significant intelligence source for the Brits. If the German human intelligence gathering was dilletantic, the British was non-existantCare to provide a few examples when this 'rather extensive intelligence network' actually turned up anything useful on large scale German operations? The Russians, for example, had one in Germany, until it was rounded up by the Gestapo and SD, and the agents turned or forced to give information about the rest of the organisation.Strictly speaking we can't know that - vide ULTRA only declassified in 1974 - but apart from that the British did, in fact, have a rather extensive intelligence network in occupied Europe.
Yes, sort of. It's actually gathering of debris of something that gone down in a big boom, and sending the pieces to London for analysis. I'd not call that a spy network, though. It's an example of amateurs and resistance fighters that helped, which is getting blown out of proportion since the question I asked was about examples about the 'lack of any serious spy network'....for example, information on the V-1 flying bomb was gathered via Danish resistance, which stumbled across a crashed V-1 on the island of Bornholm. Granted, that's not intelligence gathering in the classic sense, but it's human information gathering all the same.thanks to small, insignificant incidents like Venlo. Lacking any serious spy network, the much vaunted British intelligence had to work from tidbits it could gather through the air...
...Nothing serious was provided on these channels on German operational plans, development of new weapons, disposition of troops on the front, and higher strategy. Unfortunately for ULTRA, these kind of inforations were not part of the chatter between ENIGMA machines, they were handed over by officer couriers, over telephone lines that could not be listened toor other means...Indirectly, ULTRA could and did provide information also about strategic dispositions. For example, the British knew about German troop movements into Bulgaria and Romania in late 1940/early 1941 via ULTRA decrypts, which gave strong circumstantial evidence that Hitler was planning to attack in the Balkans that spring. Intelligence gathering doesn't have to be directly from source in order to be effective; much can be inferred from seemingly unimportant or insignificant things.
As far as what German troop movements in Bulgaria indicated as circumstancial evidence, they could indicate a zillion things apart from a German campaign on the Balkans (certainly not a done deal in late 1940 btw). Deception, preparation of attack on the USSR, political bluff, or simply reinforcing strategically vital areas to Germany.