ljadw wrote:
Because,that's assuming that the SU could be defeated by military operations on the ground,which is not correct.
Not impossible. Just very, very hard.
ljadw wrote:
more soviet casualties are not depending on a stronger Ostheer .More Soviet casualties are depending on the Soviet strategy : in 1941,it was very possible for the SU to halve (or more) its casualties by adopting an other strategy .
Two questions to this statement:
(1) Assume the Soviet strategy is the same as historically, but the invading force is half the historical size.
Are the soviet casualties the same as historically in this scenario?
(2) Assume the Soviet strategy is the same as historically, but the invading force is twice the historical size.
Are the soviet casualties the same as historically in this scenario?
Given that you claim that soviet casualties are independent of the size of the invading force, I assume you will answer 'Yes' to both questions.
Am I right? Or were you wrong when you made your claim?
ljadw wrote:
The SU could only be defeated in the early summer...But,these 2 things were considered by the Germans to be a deus ex machina .
They could be defeated later on as well. But a big part of the job had to be done close to the border in the early summer.
ljadw wrote:
More Soviet casualties are not increasing the possibility of a Soviet collaps
Around July 10, the Soviet had slightly less than 2million men facing the axis south of Leningrad.
Do you agree that the size of this force would probably be lower with heavier casualties in the days and weeks before?
If so, how small could this force drop before you start doubting that the soviets would prevail inn the ensuing battles around Smolensk, Leningrad and Kiev in the upcoming month?
ljadw wrote:
it is not so that,if 100 Germans means 100 Soviet casualties,200 Germans means 200 Soviet casualties .
Certainly not. Loss ratios depended on a lot of factors. One of which was the ability to gain operational freedom and entrap significant protions of the opposing armies. The loss ratio tended to move in favour of the attacker when this happend, compared to cases where the defense were able to retreat in decent order. As happend in Ukraine. But which might not have happened with some more axis troops.