Tom from Cornwall wrote: ↑23 Dec 2021 17:02
I think you are misinterpreting what some of us are thinking here to be honest.
Largely it seems you and I understand each other just fine. Not sure if you're misunderstanding my points though.
Tom from Cornwall wrote: ↑23 Dec 2021 17:02
I personally haven't seen any evidence that the German units were deliberately concealing losses from their command chain.
Same here.
Tom from Cornwall wrote: ↑23 Dec 2021 17:02
What they were obviously doing is disobeying instructions to send back tanks that could not be repaired at formation workshops in less than 4 weeks.
Sure.
Tom from Cornwall wrote: ↑23 Dec 2021 17:02
Some of those AFVs (I'm deliberately including SP artillery here as it is of particular interest to me at the moment!) had probably been damaged directly in combat (HV weapon, artillery strike, infantry weapon, mines, aircraft attack, etc), some by mechanical failure, some would have need time-based or mileage-based maintenance and some had probably been damaged by user error (ditched, etc).
Ok.
Tom from Cornwall wrote: ↑23 Dec 2021 17:02
Have you seen any primary documentation that can divide up those AFVs in long-term repair and disobediently keep at the front into different damage categories?
Nope, you?
Tom from Cornwall wrote: ↑23 Dec 2021 17:02
If not, aren't all your suppositions purely guesswork?
All of ours is. That's the entire point of the argument competing suppositions and how to categorize losses.
Tom from Cornwall wrote: ↑23 Dec 2021 17:02
The problem with the German tank casualty recording "system" is that it was fundamentally different from that of the UK/US forces in the West and, I suspect, from that of Soviet forces. It is, therefore, much more difficult to reconcile comparative tank casualties in short engagements (such as Kursk or say "Bluecoat") than much of the literature would have us believe. I don't suppose the Germans had historians in mind when they decided to lug around "crocks" which were "BLR" (beyond local repair) as the British would have described them.
That is not actually true given the work that Chris Lawerence did on combat losses for both side for Kursk. I just don't have the money to spend on a 1600 page coffee table book to see the breakdowns he did based on primary losses. German reporting of write offs and damaged exists, as Lawerence was able to find them. The issue is pop historians tend not to report any number for the Germans other than total losses. But for Kursk the comparisons I've seen are for total losses vs. total losses.
Michael is asserting that total losses were actually higher during Kursk and other engagements, but were 'hidden' by 'creative accounting' in repair units. He's not wrong that units were later written off for various reasons, what I'm objecting to is the idea that they were write offs based on the battle in which they were damaged rather than being written off for other reasons and later battles, so it wouldn't be correct to count them as anything other than damaged, but repairable for the battle in which they suffered damage. Triage to determine if an AFV is repairable or not is generally pretty quick and certainly was during Op Citadel. Losses due to later write offs being forced due to abandonment as a result of the Soviet offensive post-Citadel would really only be in Orel due to the timeline of events there and would be counted as write offs for the Orel battle. Since the Germans largely, AFAIK, didn't differentiate between combat write offs and abandonment write offs they'd all be lumped together in general loss reports, though at lower levels the differentiation appears to exist for some units.
Unfortunately the canard that the Germans 'counted different so their numbers are inaccurate' goes back to British historiography about the Somme and WW1 in general so a particular British general could salvage his reputation post-war and that has carried over to WW2 historiography.
The British/US equivalent to a German division sending an AFV back to the factory would be sending it back to Britain for major repairs, which generally was not done AFAIK due to the cost associated with it. They'd just send a replacement if they couldn't repair it in their depots. If I'm incorrect about that system please let me know. But assuming that is true there isn't truly a direct comparison to a German 'write off' going back to the factory for rebuilding and later reissuing it as 'new' production.
Tom from Cornwall wrote: ↑23 Dec 2021 17:02
Michael also makes a valuable point when he notes that lugging around "crocks" in the forlorn hope that a passing unicorn would turn up with the necessary spares it needed not only wasted recovery assets, leading to further damage as tanks towed tanks, but also probably caused recoverable tanks to be left behind during retreats.
Sure, but that wasn't the point I was objecting to, that only came into the argument later and is besides the point. His claim was they recovered wrecks to strip for parts later and then kept lugging them around for some reason until they eventually decided to ditch it.
The 'tanks towed tanks' thing is AFAIK mostly Tiger tanks due to so few heavy recovery vehicles being available.