Gooner1 wrote: ↑04 Dec 2022, 00:50
Excellent analysis by Mikko Laaksonen of the opening monthsbased on the recent RUSI report
https://rusi.org/explore-our-research/p ... -july-2022
1/17 Own conclusions on @RUSI_org report: #Russia set out to conquer and annex all of #Ukraine and to commi t #genocide by murdering #Ukraine government and all those who would resist #russification.
2/17 The plan was based on mistaken assumptions of opinions of #Ukraine population and military, in particular a faulty perception that the majority would not resist a #Russia invasion
3/17 #Ukraine intelligence estimated that instead of the overambitious actual plan the #Russia main effort would be a general attack in #Donbas. While dispersal was mostly done in time, redeployment started too late.
4/17 The result was that the decisive battles became meeting engagements with a disoriented, tactically incompetent attacking #Russia force and smaller, but determined, tactically competent #Ukraine force.
5/17 The main reason why #Russia invasion plan failed was president #Putin and the untenable targets set by him for a force too small and incompetent for the task. Due to deception, the main forces did not get their orders in time.
6/17 The #BTG organization was main reason why the #Russia ground forces were slow to adapt and why they suffered immense materiel losses. The uneven units had not trained together and were hard to lead.
7/17 #Ukraine had during the 2014-2022 phase of the war managed to modernize its army and air force mostly by refurbishing and modernizing legacy #Soviet tanks, artillery, airplanes. It had a large reserve with combat experience against #Russia from #ATO
8/17 #Russian actions could and did not significantly prevent mobilization in the cities they were not able to seize. In #Kyiv, #Chernihiv, #Sumy, #Kharkiv, #Mykolaiv and #Odesa this would in the end be decisive.
9/17 #Russia plan mostly succeeded in south, where #Melitopol, #Kherson and #Berdyansk were taken relatively easily. Ukrainian units were insufficient. The southern offensive dissipated when it continued too far north of #Mykolaiv and #Ukraine mobilized sufficient forces
10/17 The battle for #Kyiv was decided by time bought for mobilization by special forces delaying the northwest attack and the #Ukraine mobilization in the bypassed cities of #Chernihiv and #Sumy. These allowed to cut the supply routes, and once threatened, #Russia had to retreat
11/17 In the #Kyiv, #Chernihiv and #Sumy area, forested terrain and rivers provided the defender with advantages to set up ambushes and obstacles, which were lacking in the south.
12/17 In #Kharkiv the main attack and encirclement on the city was prevented by battles in the city surroundings. This is addressed in the report less clearly.
13/17 Media and social media reporting overrepresented the role of #Western anti-tank weapons and #drones. The decisive weapons in defense were artillery and tanks, which #Ukraine used competently.
14/17 #Ukraine used tanks unconventionally in large part for indirect fires. This was not only due to lack of artillery. #Russia adopted this tactic in #Donbas. This should be studied in more detail.
15/17 #Russian air defense and air campaign was at the start disoriented and failed to suppress #Ukrainian air force and defense. This was corrected relatively fast. After the air defense of both sides solidified, both air forces could no longer penetrate the battlespace.
16/17 #Russia could strike in the depth of #Ukraine with ballistic and cruise missiles with success. It shifted to less precise and suboptimal systems when stockpiles of modern #Iskander, #Kalibr were reduced.
17/17 #Russia regrouping, attack in #Donbas were partly successful. Ukrainian defences were worn out by mass artillery fire followed by assault waves. The slow grinding attack was blunted as #Ukraine received precision #MLRS and artillery to attack the Russian artillery logistics
https://twitter.com/MikkoLaaksonen1/sta ... 1216976896
This "city" at the training ground in Belarus was built specifically to work out the main elements of tactics. "Cleaning" the settlement is one of them. To act, for greater efficiency, you need to suddenly.
Under the cover of heavy equipment fire, the servicemen of the Western Military District block possible escape routes and go forward, "combing" the settlement meter by meter. Although the enemy here is conditional, all the actions of the infantry are real.
